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<description>News for those who treasure Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.</description>
<lastBuildDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 18:22:44 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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        <title>Government Accountability Shop - Your support keeps NAMELY LIBERTY 100% independent!</title>
        <link>https://namelyliberty.com/shop/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
        <pubDate>Wed, 29 Jul 2026 05:02:53 +0000</pubDate>
        <dc:creator>2ndfor1st</dc:creator>
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        <![CDATA[ “When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny.” ]]>
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        <![CDATA[ “When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny.” ]]>
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	<title>CPRC in the News: Concord Monitor, The Patriot Post, Daily Journal, American Rifleman, and more</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/cprc-in-the-news-concord-monitor-the-patriot-post-daily-journal-american-rifleman-and-more/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 18:22:44 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65814</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[A national survey commissioned by the Crime Prevention Research Center and conducted this year validates what Second Amendment advocates have long argued: the public rejects the gun control premise. When asked what would do the most to reduce violent crime, voters overwhelmingly favored holding criminals accountable over passing new restrictions. Thirty-one percent of respondents chose [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[ 
A national survey commissioned by the Crime Prevention Research Center and conducted this year validates what Second Amendment advocates have long argued: the public rejects the gun control premise. When asked what would do the most to reduce violent crime, voters overwhelmingly favored holding criminals accountable over passing new restrictions. Thirty-one percent of respondents chose enforcing existing laws as the best way to lower crime rates, while more than 30% favored arresting and prosecuting violent and repeat offenders. Only 30% supported passing new firearm-related legislation. Combined, enforcement-focused solutions outperformed new gun-control measures by more than 30 percentage points. The message from the American people to their legislators is remarkably simple: hold violent criminals accountable, stop treating law-abiding citizens like the problem, and trust ordinary people pursuing their own happiness. . . .Kate Giddins, “What becoming an American taught me about liberty,” Concord Monitor, July 9, 2026. [1]
  
Back to crime. Just yesterday, researcher John Lott&#160;published an article [2]&#160;doing what he does best: highlighting the real statistics about violent crime. “While the United States still leads in some categories,” he says, “on the whole it has significantly less violent crime per capita than [Australia and Canada].” He explains: . . .  Nate Jackson, “Appeals Court Tramples the Second Amendment, Upholding ‘Assault Weapons’ Ban,” Patriot Post, July 10, 2026. [3]
 Screenshot 
The number of concealed handgun permits has been growing exponentially. In 1999, there were 2.7 million concealed handgun permit holders in the U.S. There are now at least 21.8 million permits in the U.S. John R. Lott, Jr.,&#160;Concealed Carry Permit Holders Across the United States: 2023, . . .  William Slomanson, “The 2nd Amendment meets the front door of private property,” Daily Journal July 6, 2026. [4]
  
As John Lott, founder and president of the Crime Prevention Research Center,&#160;explained it [5]&#160;recently, both Australia and the United States use “large-scale surveys that estimate total crime, not just crimes reported to police. The Australian Bureau of Statistics runs such a survey annually. In the United States, the Bureau of Justice Statistics conducts the National Crime Victimization Survey, which surveys about 240,000 people each year. When we compare these broader estimates, Australia’s rape and sexual assault rate is roughly three times higher than that of the United States. Australia’s assault rate is about twice as high, and its burglary rate is about 2.5 times higher. Robbery is the only category where the two countries report similar rates.” . . .Frank Miniter, “Meet an Australian Visiting America to Warn Us,” American Rifleman, July 11, 2026. [6]
  
The&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center [7]&#160;(CPRC) recently partnered with the polling firm McLaughlin &#38; Associates, and&#160;their efforts [8]&#160;revealed that Americans are significantly more likely to support and exercise their Second Amendment rights now than they were just 18 months ago. At the same time, they are less likely to support increased gun control restrictions pushed by anti-gun activists. First, let’s look at the increase in practice. According to the responses, the percent of Americans carrying a firearm for self-defense jumped from 24.3 percent in December 2024 to 29.8 percent in May 2026. Breaking it down a little more, the poll report stated: “13.2% carry all/most of the time, with another 16.6% carrying sometimes/rarely. The percent who carry all or most the time is virtually the same as the percent who carried similarly in&#160;December 2024 [9]. But the percent who carry at least some of the time or rarely has increased by 5.4 percentage points (from 11.2% to 16.6%).” That’s a pretty significant increase. Especially considering anti-gun states continue to pass or defend in court new laws aimed at reducing the opportunity to legally carry. The trend tracks with&#160;the broader expansion of concealed carry licensing nationally [10], where there are now over 21.46 million adult permit-holders in the United States — with women, Asians, and African-Americans representing the fastest-growing demographic segments. . . .  Mark Chesnut, “Latest Poll: Concealed Carry Jumps Sharply As Support For More Gun Control Tumbles,” The Truth about Guns, July 1, 2026. [11]
  Evidence compiled by the&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center&#160;shows that the sources the media relied on undercounted the number of instances in which armed citizens have thwarted such attacks by&#160;an order of more than ten, saving untold numbers of lives. Of course, law-abiding citizens stopping these attacks&#160;are not rare [12]. What is rare is national news coverage of those incidents. Although those many news stories about the Greenwood shooting also suggested that the defensive use of guns might endanger others, there is no evidence that these acts have harmed innocent victims. “Trust the Science,” The View From North Central Idaho, July 1, 2026. [13]  
her, Right-to-Carry permit holders have proven themselves trustworthy. Examining permit revocation data for his annual&#160;“Concealed Carry Permit Holders Across the United States” report [14], Economist John Lott determined, “Even given the low conviction rate for police, concealed carry permit holders are even more law-abiding than police.” . . . Staff, “PRESIDENT TRUMP REITERATES SUPPORT FOR NATIONAL RIGHT-TO-CARRY RECIPROCITY AND NRA,” NRA-ILA, June 29, 2026. [15]
  
National reciprocity legislation [16]&#160;is now something we know the Trump administration is working on. While it’s not the ideal situation–national constitutional carry would be so much better–it’s far better than the status quo. As it stands, a permit in one state might be recognized in another, or it might not. You have to navigate the insane patchwork of laws, all to exercise a constitutionally protected right. But if you have a driver’s license in Minnesota, you can drive anywhere in the United States. Your license is accepted everywhere, even though driving is considered a privilege and the right to keep and bear arms is a right. Yeah, someone try to make that make sense. Writing at Real Clear Politics, John Lott&#160;makes the case for national reciprocity. [17] Much of the gun-control debate centers on hypothetical risks. With reciprocity, however, we don’t have to speculate. With&#160;21.5 million [18]&#160;concealed handgun permit holders in the United States, we already know how they behave. In addition, most Americans already benefit from reciprocity. The&#160;average state [19]&#160;recognizes permits from 30 other states, allowing permit holders to travel legally with their firearms. Last year, when House Judiciary Committee passed national reciprocity along party lines, Democrats&#160;also opposed [20]&#160;legislation that would allow current and retired law enforcement officers with at least ten years of service to carry firearms in facilities open to the public – including schools – while traveling across the country. Given&#160;their fear [21]&#160;that allowing experienced current or retired law enforcement officers to carry would endanger public safety, it comes as no surprise that they also oppose allowing civilians to carry across state lines. Congressional opponents of reciprocity warned that permit holders would commit crimes but cited no evidence to support that claim. The facts point in the opposite direction. Concealed handgun permit holders are extraordinarily law-abiding. States&#160;revoke their permits for firearm-related violations at rates measured in thousandths – or even ten-thousandths – of one percent [22]. Police officers rarely commit firearm crimes, yet permit holders lose their permits for firearm offenses at only about&#160;one-twelfth [23]&#160;the rate that police are convicted of firearm related crimes. This is the typical anti-gun playbook. They treat unlawful gun carriers and permit holders as the exact same, even while pretending they understand the difference. In their mind, the paranoia they accuse us of takes hold and rather than differentiate between good guys and bad guys, they see us all as bad guys in waiting.. They claim to be able to tell the difference, but this is a case of “deeds not words” applying. Their deeds tell a different story. Permit holders are the most law-abiding people in the country. That’s been shown by years of data, also. It’s not some flash in the pan, but a trend that dates back a ways, likely to the day the first carry permit was issued. People who care about getting permits or constitutional carry laws aren’t the criminals. The bad guys have carried without permits for decades, and would continue to do so no matter what laws are in place. They don’t care about state lines, either. “This legislation is a dramatic infringement on states’ rights,”&#160;claimed [24]&#160;Emma Brown, executive director of the gun-control group Giffords, echoing a common criticism. Yet those same organizations routinely advocate federal gun-control laws that override state policy choices. What we need to understand about people like Brown here is that states’ rights only matter when it comes to gun restrictions. As Lott correctly notes, they routinely advocate for&#160;federal gun control [25], which is also a “dramatic infringement on states’ rights.”&#160; It’s like their calls for local control while opposing&#160;Second Amendment sanctuary communities [26]. They don’t want local control; they simply want things to be as difficult for gun owners as humanly possible. That includes the whole mess of reciprocity as it stands, versus national reciprocity. Opponents also claimed that national reciprocity would confuse travelers about which gun laws apply in each state and lead to more arrests. But reciprocity already exists across much of the country, and&#160;no evidence [27]&#160;shows that out-of-state permit holders create such problems. Indeed, the same situation exists for drivers when they cross state lines: They are required to follow the driving regulations for the state they are in. They’re required to follow all the&#160;laws of the state [28]&#160;they’re in, and it’s not an issue. But if it were, would it somehow be better if permit holders were somehow legally barred from carrying in particular states because of some quirk of how reciprocity works? I mean, if permit holders can’t be trusted to look at the laws of where they’re going, how would they know if their permits will be recognized in a different state under the current rules? In fact, the lack of any significant issues is, alone, proof that their fears and outrage are nothing more than a knee-jerk reaction to the concept of them losing ground. As Lott noted previously, all of their arguments are based on hypotheticals rather than anything concrete because nothing concrete supports the arguments. They have to use hypotheticals because it’s all they have. There’s no threat to anyone with national reciprocity…except to anti-gunners who fear yet another example of our&#160;gun rights [29]&#160;making us safer. Tom Knighton, “Why We Need National Reciprocity, At a Minimum,” Bearing Arms, July 6, 2026. [30]
  
we’ve also&#160;seen a profound bias in AI [31]&#160;when it comes to gun control. But that study about bias came from&#160;John Lott’s Crime Prevention Research Center [32], which gets dismissed by the mainstream media because Lott doesn’t toe the anti-gun line. In their minds, that means it doesn’t count. . . . Tom Knighton, “Oxford Study Finds Leftist Bias in AI,” Bearing Arms, July 6 2026. [33]
 Screenshot  “Concealed Handgun Permit Holders Remain Among America’s Most Law-Abiding Citizens,” Montgomery County, July 2026. [34] 

[1] https://www.concordmonitor.com/2026/07/09/my-turn-embracing-freedom-second-amendment/
[2] https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2026/07/09/mythbuster_us_much_safer_than_many_peer_nations_1193400.html
[3] https://patriotpost.us/articles/129008-appeals-court-tramples-the-second-amendment-upholding-assault-weapons-ban-2026-07-10
[4] https://www.dailyjournal.com/articles/392761-the-2nd-amendment-meets-the-front-door-of-private-property
[5] https://www.spectator.com.au/2026/06/the-shocking-truth-about-australian-crime-rates/
[6] https://www.americanrifleman.org/content/meet-an-australian-visiting-america-to-warn-us/
[7] https://crimeresearch.org/
[8] https://crimeresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/National-Topline-CPRC-05-19-26.pdf
[9] https://crimeresearch.org/2024/12/new-survey-on-the-rate-that-people-carry-concealed-handguns-comparing-constitutional-carry-states-right-to-carry-states-and-the-seven-may-issue-states-before-bruen/
[10] https://www.thetruthaboutguns.com/concealed-carry-permit-numbers-gun-sales-remain-solid-in-2024/
[11] https://www.thetruthaboutguns.com/new-poll-shows-gun-rights-gaining-support/
[12] https://crimeresearch.org/2022/08/uber-driver-in-chicago-stops-mass-public-shooting/
[13] https://blog.joehuffman.org/2026/07/01/trust-the-science-2/
[14] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5882802
[15] https://www.nraila.org/articles/20260629/president-trump-reiterates-support-for-national-right-to-carry-reciprocity-and-nra
[16] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/06/02/why-national-reciprocity-at-a-minimum-is-needed-here-and-now-n1232712
[17] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/07/04/crossing_a_state_line_shouldnt_cost_you_your_right_to_self-defense_154301.html
[18] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[19] https://www.usconcealedcarry.com/resources/ccw_reciprocity_map
[20] https://judiciary.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/republicans-judiciary.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/leosa-reform-bill-text.pdf
[21] https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CRPT-119hrpt81/pdf/CRPT-119hrpt81.pdf
[22] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[23] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[24] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nra-expert-why-bills-being-advanced-congress-crucial-law-abiding-gun-owners
[25] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/07/03/when-anti-gunners-reach-for-anything-to-attack-gun-rights-n1233068
[26] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/05/19/the-long-history-of-sanctuary-cities-and-why-2a-sanctuaries-matter-n1232578
[27] https://www.amazon.com/More-Guns-Less-Crime-Understanding/dp/1707911975/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2PYQ4HPEPWQN0&#38;keywords=more+guns+less+crime&#38;qid=1636267088&#38;sprefix=More+Guns+L%2Caps%2C238&#38;sr=8-1
[28] https://bearingarms.com/camedwards/2026/04/16/two-more-2a-cases-make-their-supreme-court-conference-debut-tomorrow-n1232251
[29] https://bearingarms.com/tags/gun-rights
[30] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/07/06/why-we-need-national-reciprocity-at-a-minimum-n1233085
[31] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/02/12/study-argues-ai-chatbots-have-anti-gun-bias-theres-a-reason-for-that-n1231538
[32] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/04/08/social-sciences-garbage-gun-research-and-the-replication-crisis-n1232148
[33] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/07/06/oxford-study-finds-leftist-bias-in-ai-n1233086
[34] https://assets.montgomerycountymd.gov/files/2026-06/item-11-testimony8-AlvinScott.pdf]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Driver plows into people at a street festival Sunday in Chile, killing at least six, another seven injured</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/driver-plows-into-people-at-a-street-festival-sunday-in-chile-killing-at-least-six-another-seven-injured/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 19:26:15 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65960</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[This might not involve a terrorist attack, but it just shows how vehicles can be used to kill other people. . A driver plowed into people at a street festival Sunday in Chile, killing at least six, police said. The man reportedly lost control of the vehicle at the festival in the city of Vina [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[This might not involve a terrorist attack, but it just shows how vehicles can be used to kill other people. . 
A driver plowed into people at a street festival Sunday in Chile, killing at least six, police said. The man reportedly lost control of the vehicle at the festival in the city of Vina del Mar, Jorge Guaita, a police official, told AFP. Another seven people were injured but their lives are not in danger, he added. Early reports said the driver was speeding on a road running alongside the festival site. . . . AFP, “Driver runs over and kills six people at festival in Chile,” AFO, July 12, 2026 [1]
 The video here talks about road rage incidents across the world in recent months. 
[embedded content]
 

[1] https://citizen.digital/article/driver-runs-over-and-kills-six-people-at-festival-in-chile-n386331?fbclid=IwY2xjawTB-ghleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBicmlkETExcVZ4bzFpZUZQbkV3SzJOc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHvqHdD2TrDIuQF1-v3WJ6aEBG_7EknbWFClr6nP96UC-kSBkAX_Na0BeKNr2_aem_VxZZyBtUlGp4OjpPjbAsFA]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>New Research: Murders in US remain very concentrated in 2024, With the murders in worst 2% of counties remaining at their 2020 peaks</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/new-research-murders-in-us-remain-very-concentrated-in-2024-with-the-murders-in-worst-2-of-counties-remaining-at-their-2020-peaks/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65616</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[We have continued our reports on how very concentrated murders are in the United States. Our newest report is available here. Abstract The worst 1% of counties (the worst 31 counties) have 20% of the population and 41% of the murders. The worst 2% of counties (63 counties) contain 30% of the population and 54% [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[We have continued our reports on how very concentrated murders are in the United States. Our newest report is available here [1]. 
Abstract The worst 1% of counties (the worst 31 counties) have 20% of the population and 41% of the murders. The worst 2% of counties (63 counties) contain 30% of the population and 54% of the murders. The worst 5% of counties contain 46% of the population and account for 71% of murders. But even within those counties, the murders are very heavily concentrated in small areas within those counties. By contrast, 53% of the counties have zero murders and another 16% have just one murder. These 69% of the counties account for only 3% of all murders in the country. This concentration of murders remains near decade-long peak levels. Between 2010 and 2014, the share of murders occurring in the worst 5% of counties fell from 71% to 69%, but it then climbed to 73% in 2020 before easing back to 71% in 2024. Much of the increase was driven by the worst 1% and 2% of counties, whose shares of murders rose sharply between 2014 and 2020 and remained historically high in 2024, even though their shares of the U.S. population changed little over time. John R Lott, Jr., “Murders in US remain very concentrated in 2024, With the murders in worst 2% of counties remaining at their 2020 peaks,” Social Science Research Network, June 20, 2026. [2]
 

[1] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6971902
[2] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6971902]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At The Federalist: Trump’s Immigration Enforcement Really Is Slashing Violent Crime</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-the-federalist-trumps-immigration-enforcement-really-is-slashing-violent-crime/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65888</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at The Federalist. It was also linked to by Real Clear Politics, Hot Air, and ACE of Spades HQ. Two days after the piece was posted, it was still the second most read piece at The Federalist (see the bottom of the post). . Is crime falling? [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at The Federalist [1]. It was also linked to by Real Clear Politics [2], Hot Air [3], and ACE of Spades HQ [4]. Two days after the piece was posted, it was still the second most read piece at The Federalist (see the bottom of the post)..
Is crime falling? Some conservatives, notably Steve Bannon,&#160;argue [5]&#160;that Americans should ignore the FBI’s crime statistics showing record drops in violent crime. The murder rate last year fell to the lowest rate ever recorded, and the violent crime rate is clearly at the lowest in many decades. But Bannon recently declared that “nobody believes” FBI crime data or its director, Kash Patel, adding: “I don’t want to hear any more statistics about how crime’s coming down.” . That skepticism overlooks an important distinction. , The FBI has made mistakes in the past, particularly in&#160;its active shooter reports [6]&#160;and hate crime data. Some police departments have also&#160;failed [7]&#160;to report complete crime data to the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports. But those problems do not explain the concerns with the measure of overall crime. . The real issue is understanding what different crime measures actually tell us. Past problems with the FBI’s measure of crimes reported to police do not mean anyone manipulated the data. Nor do they mean that last year’s reported decline in crime — or the declines so far this year — are inaccurate.. . The United States has two primary measures of violent crime. The FBI tracks crimes reported to police. The Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) estimates both reported and unreported crime. Researchers have known for decades that most crimes never reach the police. Victims report only about 40 percent of violent crimes and roughly 30 percent of property crimes. . The media focuses almost exclusively on FBI crime data. Before 2020, FBI data and the NCVS generally moved in the same direction. During the Biden administration, however, they sharply diverged. While reported violent crime fell by about 8 percent, total felony violent crime measured by the NCVS surged 59 percent — the largest four-year percentage increase since the survey began more than five decades ago. . Several factors explain that gap. Whether victims report crimes depends heavily on whether they believe police will catch and punish offenders. As cities reduced police staffing through budget cuts, retirements, and, in some places, “defund the police” policies, arrest rates declined. Lower arrest rates gave victims less reason to report crimes. . Some police departments also made reporting more difficult. In some jurisdictions, 911 operators asked whether the offender was still at the scene. If the answer was no — as it almost always was — they instructed victims to visit a police station later to file a report. Simply calling 911 does not place a crime in the FBI’s statistics; an officer must complete an official report. When governments make reporting more burdensome, some victims understandably decide it isn’t worth the effort. . Fortunately, many of those policies have been reversed. . Although reported crime has declined, we will not know whether total crime also fell in 2025 until the Bureau of Justice Statistics releases the next NCVS this September. . Even so, there is good reason for optimism. . Reducing crime is not complicated. Governments must make crime riskier by increasing arrests and convictions, imposing longer prison sentences, and allowing law-abiding citizens to defend themselves. The news on each of those fronts has been encouraging. . FBI arrests surged in 2025,&#160;rising 184 percent [8]&#160;over 2024 levels. Total FBI arrests — a broader category that includes many joint operations with state and local agencies — increased by&#160;197 percent [9]. . Voters also replaced several George Soros-backed prosecutors in jurisdictions such as Los Angeles and San Francisco with district attorneys who prosecute criminals more aggressively and seek tougher sentences. Across the country, President Trump’s U.S. attorneys have also pursued criminals far more aggressively than their predecessors. In Washington, D.C., for example, the Biden administration’s U.S. Attorney&#160;declined to prosecute 67 percent of those arrested [10]. Under U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, that figure has fallen to&#160;just 4 percent [11]. . Nor is it a coincidence that the record influx of illegal immigrants during the Biden administration coincided with a sharp increase in violent crime. It is equally unsurprising that crime has fallen as deportations have increased. Deportation records show that&#160;70 percent of illegal immigrants deported [12]&#160;during the Trump administration had either criminal convictions or pending criminal charges in the United States. Even those who avoid arrest understand that any contact with law enforcement could lead to deportation, giving them a strong incentive to stay off the police’s radar and avoid committing additional crimes. . Finally, the number of adults carrying concealed handguns has risen sharply, with the latest survey data showing a&#160;5-percentage-point increase in concealed carry [13]&#160;over the past year and a half. . Americans shouldn’t blindly accept crime statistics, but they need to understand what the different numbers actually measure. The FBI’s numbers show that reported crime has fallen dramatically, while the NCVS will tell us this September whether total violent crime has also declined. Stronger law enforcement, more aggressive prosecution, and greater accountability provide good reasons to expect that the encouraging trend in reported crime reflects a real improvement in public safety. John R. Lott, Jr., “Trump’s Immigration Enforcement Really Is Slashing Violent Crime,” The Federalist, July 9, 2026. [14]


[1] https://thefederalist.com/2026/07/09/trumps-immigration-enforcement-really-is-slashing-violent-crime/
[2] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/2026/07/10/immigration_enforcement_is_slashing_violent_crime_704687.html
[3] https://hotair.com/headlines/2026/07/12/trumps-immigration-enforcement-really-is-slashing-violent-crime-n3816845
[4] https://acecomments.mu.nu/?post=420539
[5] https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5947251-bannon-doubts-fbi-crime-stats/?fbclid=IwY2xjawSxsVZleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETF5NzVWdTNMVEZ5QWJJVERJc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHhYRCr2gx1X_Ja65CSPgOLcFZKX9XvT1K1oC4Toi3ZaCnAzCImEhdOPCMCSE_aem__rR7_h8ZQgXJgUq9U8zOAA
[6] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/09/massive-errors-in-fbis-active-shooting-reports-from-2014-2024-regarding-cases-where-civilians-stop-attacks-instead-of-3-7-the-correct-number-is-at-least-36-excluding-gun-free-zones-it-ave/
[7] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/08/the-d-c-police-union-says-that-mayor-bowsers-claim-that-the-crime-data-manipulation-is-isolated-to-one-precinct-is-preposterous/
[8] https://www.fbi.gov/
[9] https://www.facebook.com/reel/773355865803074
[10] https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2026/jun/25/us-attorney-jeanine-pirro-fixing-dcs-broken-prosecution-record/
[11] https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2026/jun/25/us-attorney-jeanine-pirro-fixing-dcs-broken-prosecution-record/
[12] https://www.dhs.gov/news/2026/01/20/dhs-recaps-worst-worst-criminal-illegal-aliens-ice-took-enforcement-action-during
[13] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/06/at-real-clear-investigations-gun-safety-violent-crime-drops-as-more-americans-pack-heat/
[14] https://thefederalist.com/2026/07/09/trumps-immigration-enforcement-really-is-slashing-violent-crime/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At Real Clear Investigations: Mythbuster: U.S. Much Safer Than Many Peer Nations</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-real-clear-investigations-mythbuster-u-s-much-safer-than-many-peer-nations/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:15:55 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65885</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[. Conventional wisdom holds that the United States is the most violent and dangerous nation in the developed world. This dark view is frequently invoked by conservatives to demand stronger penalties for crimes and by progressives to argue for stronger gun laws.&#160; . At the same time, other nations point to crime as an Achilles [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[.
Conventional wisdom holds that the United States is the most violent and dangerous nation in the developed world. This dark view is frequently invoked by conservatives to demand stronger penalties for crimes and by progressives to argue for stronger gun laws.&#160; . At the same time, other nations point to crime as an Achilles heel of the American system. These include two peer nations with some of the most restrictive gun laws in the world – Australia and Canada. In 2025, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation&#160;reported [1]&#160;that “the U.S. generally sees higher violent crime rates than many other countries.” Last year, the Canadian Press similarly&#160;reported [2]&#160;that “the number of police-reported violent crimes for every 100,000 people continue to be higher in the United States than in Canada.” . The data, however, undercuts this narrative. While the United States still leads in some categories, on the whole it has significantly less violent crime per capita than those two nations. .&#160;&#160; Regarding homicide, the most heinous crime of all, it’s true that in 2025, the U.S. murder rate was about four per 100,000 people – roughly twice Australia’s and Canada’s 2024 homicide rate. Yet it’s also true that homicides account for only a tiny fraction of violent crime. In 2024, homicides represented just 0.21% of violent crimes in the U.S., based on National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) estimates of rape/sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault. Murder comprises an even smaller fraction of crimes in Australia and Canada.&#160; . Murders in the U.S. are usually highly concentrated geographically, often connected to street gang activity, and threaten only a tiny fraction of Americans.&#160;Just 2% of counties [3]&#160;account for approximately 54% of all murders, and within those counties roughly two-thirds of killings occur within areas covering only about ten city blocks.&#160;By contrast, 53% of U.S. counties report no murders in a typical year, while another 16% report only one. . Moreover, when analyzing the incidence of a broader set of crimes, the U.S. is nowhere near the most dangerous developed country on Earth.&#160; . Ignoring Police Because police statistics capture only a fraction of actual crime, the U.S., Canada, and Australia all conduct large-scale victimization surveys that estimate total crime, including incidents never reported to police. The Bureau of Justice Statistics has conducted the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which interviews roughly 240,000 Americans annually, for more than 50 years. Australia relies on a comparable survey conducted by the&#160;Australian Bureau of Statistics [4], while&#160;Statistics Canada conducts the General Social Survey [5]&#160;(GSS)&#160;on Safety and Victimization. . “Anyone who wants to understand the seriousness of crime in Canada needs to recognize that victimization surveys paint a more complete picture than police-reported crime,” said&#160;Gary Mauser, who has extensively studied&#160;crime&#160;at Simon Fraser University in Canada. . The gap between police statistics and actual victimization is substantial. In Canada, the police-reported violent-crime&#160;rate is 885 per 100,000 people [6].&#160;The GSS reported a violent victimization rate almost 10 times that –&#160;8,300 per 100,000 [7].&#160; . Australia shows a similar pattern. Although the state of Victoria did not provide assault data to the ABS, only about 37% of robberies and sexual assaults were&#160;reported [8]&#160;to police in 2024. . The U.S. data tell a very different story. Although the FBI does not collect national counts of simple assault, it&#160;recorded 1,203,808 violent crimes [9]&#160;in 2019. During the same year, the NCVS&#160;estimated&#160;2,013,220&#160;felonious violent crimes [10]&#160;– rape or sexual assault, robbery, and aggravated assault, excluding simple assault. Police reports therefore captured 59.8% of the NCVS estimate. . Using these broad estimates, Australia’s rape and sexual assault rate is roughly&#160;three times higher [11]&#160;than that of the United States. Australia’s assault rate is about twice as high, and its burglary rate is about 2.5 times higher. Robbery is the only category where the two countries report similar rates. . But even this Australian data significantly&#160;understates [12]&#160;the extent of violent crime because it counts victims rather than the number of crimes, unlike the U.S. data. If someone is robbed or sexually assaulted twice, the Australian survey records only one victimization, while the U.S. counts two separate crimes. As a result, Australia’s survey misses repeat victimizations and understates the total amount of violent crime. Even modest adjustments suggest that Australia’s violent crime rate is&#160;15% higher [13]&#160;than already discussed. . “For decades, researchers have documented that people report crimes more often when law enforcement is more likely to catch and punish the offenders,” said&#160;David Mustard, a professor and crime expert at the University of Georgia.&#160;“The extremely low reporting rates in Australia and Canada therefore raise serious doubts about public confidence in their criminal justice systems.” . Normalizing Rape For example, in Canada in 2019, about 8.1% of total violent crimes resulted in the person being arrested and charged with the crime (210,000 arrested and charged out of 2.59 million victimizations), which is quite low even compared to the 20% rate in the U.S.&#160; . In Australia, there are numerous complaints that “Rape is effectively decriminalized [14].” In New South Wales, of the 9,138 sexual assaults reported to police in 2022, there were only 1,016 convictions – just an 11% conviction rate. Indeed, during a recent lecture that I gave to college students in New South Wales in February, several women said there was no reason to report rapes and sexual assaults to the police because they believed nothing would happen to the criminal and it was personally embarrassing to come forward publicly. . As a result, an analysis based solely on police statistics can be misleading when comparing countries. Victimization surveys tell a different story. Although direct comparisons require some caution because the Canadian GSS and the U.S. NCVS define certain crimes like sexual assault differently, those differences generally favor Canada and make the U.S. appear relatively more violent. . Still, the results remain striking. In 2019, Canada’s overall violent-crime victimization rate was at least 175% higher than the U.S. after adjusting for different methods. “Anyone who wants to understand just how serious crime is in Canada needs to recognize that crime rates are higher in Canada than in the U.S., according to victimization surveys,” Mauser said. . Robbery offers an especially useful comparison because both surveys define it similarly. Canada’s robbery victimization rate was 268% higher than the U.S. rate. Property crime follows a similar pattern. Canada’s burglary rate was 259% higher than the U.S. rate.&#160; . Nor is this pattern unique to recent years.&#160;The International Crime Victimization Survey (ICVS) [15], which used identical questions and definitions across participating countries before the United Nations assumed responsibility for the survey and later discontinued it, reached similar conclusions. In 2000, Australia’s violent-crime victimization rate – including robbery, sexual incidents, assaults, and threats – was 104% higher than the U.S. rate. Robbery was 150% higher and sexual assaults 167.9% higher. The survey also found Canada’s violent-crime victimization rate to be 40% higher than the U.S. . Few countries conduct victimization surveys, but the historical evidence from&#160;older ICVS data paints a similar picture [16]. The ICVS found that England and Wales and Scotland had violent crime rates about 40% higher than the United States, while Finland’s rate was about 20% higher. France, the Netherlands, and Sweden recorded rates roughly equal to the U.S., whereas Belgium and Poland experienced violent crime rates about 20% lower.&#160; . “The media’s emphasis on reported crime badly underestimates how bad the violent crime situation in Australia is compared to the U.S.,” Dr. Kesten C. Green, who has studied crime and is a researcher at the University of Adelaide Business School, tells RealClearInvestigations. . “Only victimization surveys capture both reported and unreported crimes, providing a far more complete picture of public safety, said&#160;Professor Carl Moody, a crime researcher at the College of William &#38; Mary. “Unfortunately, much of the media ignores this distinction and relies on police statistics to make cross-country comparisons that can seriously mislead the public.” John R. Lott, Jr., “Mythbuster: U.S. Much Safer Than Many Peer Nations,” Real Clear Investigations, July 9, 2026. [17]


[1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08-13/washington-dc-crime-fact-check/105642022
[2] https://www.nsnews.com/national-news/police-reported-violent-crime-rate-grew-in-canada-as-it-dropped-in-the-us-report-11329318
[3] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6971902
[4] https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/crime-and-justice/crime-victimisation/latest-release?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[5] https://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&#38;SDDS=4504
[6] https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250722/cg-a002-eng.htm?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[7] https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/85-002-x/2021001/article/00014-eng.htm?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[8] https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/crime-and-justice/recorded-crime-victims/latest-release?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[9] https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/fbi-report-crime-shows-decline-violent-crime-rate-third-consecutive-year?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[10] https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/cv19.pdf
[11] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/01/australians-are-dramatically-more-likely-to-be-victims-of-violent-crime-than-americans/
[12] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/01/australians-are-dramatically-more-likely-to-be-victims-of-violent-crime-than-americans/
[13] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/01/australians-are-dramatically-more-likely-to-be-victims-of-violent-crime-than-americans/
[14] https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2025/jan/31/is-effectively-decriminalised-how-did-sexual-assault-become-so-easy-to-get-away-with-ntwnfb
[15] https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/85-002-x/85-002-x2002004-eng.pdf
[16] https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/85-002-x/85-002-x2002004-eng.pdf
[17] https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2026/07/09/mythbuster_us_much_safer_than_many_peer_nations_1193400.html]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Another measure of our influence on the Crime Debate</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/another-measure-of-our-influence-on-the-crime-debate/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65857</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[There are other academics who have more of an influence on the academic debate, though Dr. Lott is still respectable in academic influence, but very high in terms of legislative &#38; legal as well as the general public debates. More details on the rankings for Lott are provided here.]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[There are other academics who have more of an influence on the academic debate, though Dr. Lott is still respectable in academic influence, but very high in terms of legislative &#38; legal as well as the general public debates.  More details on the rankings for Lott are provided here.  
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	<title>In Montana’s Lee Newspapers: I-194 threatens free speech for citizen groups</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/in-montanas-lee-newspapers-i-194-threatens-free-speech-for-citizen-groups/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2026 14:12:31 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65852</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has an op-ed with Montana state representative Greg Overstreet in the Lee Newspapers in Montana including the Butte Montana Standard and the Ravalli Valley Ravalli Republic. Overstreet is a Montana state representative for House District 88. . You have the right to donate to the candidate you support. You can buy ads [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has an op-ed with Montana state representative Greg Overstreet in the Lee Newspapers in Montana including the Butte Montana Standard [1] and the Ravalli Valley Ravalli Republic [2]. Overstreet is a Montana state representative for House District 88..
You have the right to donate to the candidate you support. You can buy ads in your local newspaper. But what happens when you join your neighbors to advocate for an issue such as access to public lands or high property taxes and form an organization to amplify your voice? But if Montana Initiative 194 passes, the state could effectively prohibit your organization from participating in the political process. . Montana Initiative 194, which is set to appear on the November ballot, would ban so-called “artificial persons”—including nonprofits, trusts, partnerships, corporations, trade associations, unincorporated associations, and any entity doing business in Montana—from contributing to political campaigns, ballot measure elections, or political parties. Any entity that violates the initiative would lose the right to do business in Montana until it certifies that it has complied with the law. . The initiative does not treat all organizations equally. It expressly exempts companies that own newspapers, radio stations, and television stations. Those companies can continue publishing news stories and editorials that help one candidate or hurt another, and they can still endorse their preferred candidates—endorsements that candidates highly value. As a result, the initiative would increase the political influence of media companies while restricting the political participation of other organizations. . The initiative also quite noticeably does not mention labor unions by name. Although its broad definition of “artificial persons” may encompass unions, any dispute over whether the initiative applies to them would ultimately be decided by the Democrat-controlled Montana Supreme Court, so don’t bet on unions being covered. . Democrats have never accepted the Supreme Court’s 2010 ruling in&#160;Citizens United&#160;and some on the left have hit on the novel&#160;end-run around the First Amendment by redefining what is a&#160;corporation. . The left-wing Center for American Progress&#160;developed and popularized this specific legal strategy. It&#160;justifies [3]&#160;the strategy this way: “When a state exercises its authority to define corporations as entities without the power to spend in politics, it will no longer be relevant to discuss whether the corporations have a right to spend in politics.” . The initiative would also drag Montana into costly legal battles. The U.S. Supreme Court has already rejected the argument that states can strip people of their First Amendment rights simply because they join together in corporations or other associations. Writing for the majority in&#160;Citizens United, Justice Anthony Kennedy explained:&#160;“The Court has thus rejected the argument that political speech of corporations or other associations should be treated differently under the First Amendment simply because such associations are not ‘natural persons.’” . But even many liberal Democrats believe these laws go too far. Hawaii recently enacted a similar law, but Hawaii’s Democratic attorney general, Anne Lopez, opposed it, warning that it would be costly to defend and was unlikely to survive constitutional scrutiny. . Indeed, the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii, represented by the Institute for Free Speech, has already challenged Hawaii’s law in federal court. The lawsuit argues that citizens have a constitutional right to associate and “pool their resources” to make their speech more effective. It also points out that the First Amendment “guarantees that lawmakers cannot pick and choose who gets to speak. Nor can lawmakers condition access to any legal benefit on forfeiting the fundamental right of free political speech.” . Montanans shouldn’t let the government decide which groups may speak and which must remain silent. Initiative 194 won’t get money out of politics; it would shift power to favored voices while silencing ordinary citizens who organize together. Free speech doesn’t disappear when people join with their neighbors to make themselves heard.to survive a constitutional&#160;challenge. John R. Lott, Jr. and Greg Overstreet, “I-194 threatens free speech for citizen groups,” Ravalli Republic, July 7, 2026. [4]


[1] https://mtstandard.com/opinion/column/article_30caf077-d47b-4c92-9c63-2ba40a1a568b.html
[2] https://ravallirepublic.com/opinion/column/article_8a32fa57-6a29-488d-b4ab-52b26f393bcf.html
[3] https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-corporate-power-reset-that-makes-citizens-united-irrelevant/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[4] https://ravallirepublic.com/opinion/column/article_8a32fa57-6a29-488d-b4ab-52b26f393bcf.html]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At Real Clear Politics: Crossing a State Line Shouldn’t Cost You Your Right to Self-Defense</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-real-clear-politics-crossing-a-state-line-shouldnt-cost-you-your-right-to-self-defense/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sat, 04 Jul 2026 12:39:12 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65827</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[. Imagine a woman driving across state lines alone at night, fearful that her car might break down and leave her vulnerable. Or picture a truck driver hauling valuable cargo across the country. In states such as California, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, and Oregon – five of the ten states that refuse to recognize [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[.
Imagine a woman driving across state lines alone at night, fearful that her car might break down and leave her vulnerable. Or picture a truck driver hauling valuable cargo across the country. In states such as California, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, and Oregon – five of the ten states that refuse to recognize concealed handgun permits from other states – these travelers can find themselves defenseless. Nine states also either deny non-residents permits altogether or make them extremely difficult to obtain. . Last week [1], President Trump&#160;again [2]&#160;called for passage of national concealed carry reciprocity. The legislation would allow anyone legally permitted to carry a concealed handgun in their home state to carry across state lines, much as Americans use their driver’s licenses nationwide. The legislation would affect millions of law-abiding Americans. . Much of the gun-control debate centers on hypothetical risks. With reciprocity, however, we don’t have to speculate. With&#160;21.5 million [3]&#160;concealed handgun permit holders in the United States, we already know how they behave. In addition, most Americans already benefit from reciprocity. The&#160;average state [4]&#160;recognizes permits from 30 other states, allowing permit holders to travel legally with their firearms. . Last year, when House Judiciary Committee passed national reciprocity along party lines, Democrats&#160;also opposed [5]legislation that would allow current and retired law enforcement officers with at least ten years of service to carry firearms in facilities open to the public – including schools – while traveling across the country. Given&#160;their fear [6]&#160;that allowing experienced current or retired law enforcement officers to carry would endanger public safety, it comes as no surprise that they also oppose allowing civilians to carry across state lines. . Congressional opponents of reciprocity warned that permit holders would commit crimes but cited no evidence to support that claim. The facts point in the opposite direction. Concealed handgun permit holders are extraordinarily law-abiding. States&#160;revoke their permits for firearm-related violations at rates measured in thousandths – or even ten-thousandths – of one percent [7]. Police officers rarely commit firearm crimes, yet permit holders lose their permits for firearm offenses at only about&#160;one-twelfth [8]&#160;the rate that police are convicted of firearm related crimes. . “This legislation is a dramatic infringement on states’ rights,”&#160;claimed [9]&#160;Emma Brown, executive director of the gun-control group Giffords, echoing a common criticism. Yet those same organizations routinely advocate federal gun-control laws that override state policy choices. . Opponents also claimed that national reciprocity would confuse travelers about which gun laws apply in each state and lead to more arrests. But reciprocity already exists across much of the country, and&#160;no evidence [10]&#160;shows that out-of-state permit holders create such problems. Indeed, the same situation exists for drivers when they cross state lines: They are required to follow the driving regulations for the state they are in. . Critics also argue that permit standards vary from state to state. Yet no evidence shows that states with less restrictive permitting systems experience higher permit revocation rates. . Despite these fears, more than 86% of police chiefs and sheriffs support national reciprocity, and over 90% of rank-and-file officers support concealed carry laws. These officers see firsthand how concealed carry works in practice. They understand that police deter crime, but they also know they usually arrive after the crime has begun. Victims often must defend themselves first. Consistent with that experience, the&#160;overwhelming weight of academic research [11]&#160;finds that allowing law-abiding citizens to carry concealed handguns reduces crime. . With tens of millions of Americans legally carrying concealed handguns over many decades, if opponents could identify even dozens of cases in which out-of-state permit holders created serious problems, their concerns would deserve careful consideration. They cannot. Such cases remain exceedingly rare. Americans do not need to guess whether&#160;gun-control advocates’ concerns&#160;are justified. . Carrying a firearm provides the greatest benefit to those who face the largest physical disadvantages – women and the elderly – and to those who face the highest risk of violent crime, including many poor black residents of high-crime neighborhoods. Not surprisingly, these groups have accounted for the&#160;largest percentage growth [12]&#160;in permit ownership over the past decade. Between 2015 and 2024, permits held by women grew 112% faster than those held by men, while permits held by black Americans grew 284% faster than those held by whites. . Real life is not the movies. Most women cannot overpower several larger, stronger men, no matter how well trained they are. Men also generally possess greater upper-body strength and speed. . A firearm changes that equation. It gives women a far more effective means of self-defense. If an attacker has already closed the distance enough to seize a woman’s firearm, she is already in grave danger regardless. . Peer-reviewed research finds that allowing concealed carry reduces murder rates for both men and women. The reduction for women, however, is roughly&#160;three to four times [13]&#160;larger than the reduction for men. . The House will likely pass national reciprocity, but it faces a steeper challenge in the Senate. Breaking the expected Democratic filibuster will require 60 votes, meaning at least seven Democratic senators must cross party lines. Those senators need only examine their own states’ experience. Six states represented by 12 Democratic senators –&#160;Arizona, Georgia, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont [14], and&#160;Virginia [15]&#160;– already recognize concealed handgun permits from every other state. None has seen a problem with reciprocity. . Police play an indispensable role in public safety. But&#160;around 700,000 [16]&#160;officers cannot protect over 340 million Americans everywhere at once. Congress should ensure that law-abiding Americans do not lose their ability to defend themselves simply by crossing a state line. John R. Lott, Jr., “Crossing a State Line Shouldn’t Cost You Your Right to Self-Defense,” Real Clear Politics, July 4, 2026. [17]


[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/06/trump-pushes-nationwide-right-to-carry-legislation-with-surprise-declaration-on-june-23-2026/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/10/president-trump-and-fbi-director-hold-news-conference-part-discussing-gun-control-and-how-the-administration-is-investigating-national-reciprocity-for-concealed-carry/
[3] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[4] https://www.usconcealedcarry.com/resources/ccw_reciprocity_map
[5] https://judiciary.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/republicans-judiciary.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/leosa-reform-bill-text.pdf
[6] https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CRPT-119hrpt81/pdf/CRPT-119hrpt81.pdf
[7] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[8] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[9] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nra-expert-why-bills-being-advanced-congress-crucial-law-abiding-gun-owners
[10] https://www.amazon.com/More-Guns-Less-Crime-Understanding/dp/1707911975/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2PYQ4HPEPWQN0&#38;keywords=more+guns+less+crime&#38;qid=1636267088&#38;sprefix=More+Guns+L%2Caps%2C238&#38;sr=8-1
[11] https://crimeresearch.org/2014/11/do-right-to-carry-laws-reduce-violent-crime/
[12] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5040077
[13] https://www.amazon.com/More-Guns-Less-Crime-Understanding/dp/1707911975/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2PYQ4HPEPWQN0&#38;keywords=more+guns+less+crime&#38;qid=1636267088&#38;sprefix=More+Guns+L%2Caps%2C238&#38;sr=8-1
[14] https://www.usconcealedcarry.com/resources/ccw_reciprocity_map
[15] https://vsp.virginia.gov/services/firearms/reciprocity-and-recognition/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[16] https://bjs.ojp.gov/sites/g/files/xyckuh236/files/media/document/sop20.pdf
[17] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/07/04/crossing_a_state_line_shouldnt_cost_you_your_right_to_self-defense_154301.html]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>ChatGPT Evaluates the Impact of different Academic Researchers on the Gun Control Debate</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/chatgpt-evaluates-the-impact-of-different-academic-researchers-on-the-gun-control-debate/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 19:09:35 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65822</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[ChatGPT was asked to evaluate the top academic researchers in terms of their impact on the gun control debate on a 1 to 10 scale. ChatGPT also writes of John Lott’s research: “Probably the single most influential empirical researcher in legislative debates over concealed carry, right-to-carry laws, permitless carry, and Second Amendment litigation. His work [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[ChatGPT was asked to evaluate the top academic researchers in terms of their impact on the gun control debate on a 1 to 10 scale. ChatGPT also writes of John Lott’s research: “Probably the single most influential empirical researcher in legislative debates over concealed carry, right-to-carry laws, permitless carry, and Second Amendment litigation. His work has been cited in countless state legislative hearings, congressional testimony, amicus briefs, and expert reports over nearly 30 years.” On the gun control side it writes about Phil Cook: “Perhaps the most influential academic on the gun-control side. His research has shaped federal policy discussions, National Academies reports, and the work of agencies such as the CDC and DOJ. Frequently cited in legislative testimony and litigation.” The overall rating isn’t based on a simple average, but a weighted average that takes this form: Overall = 0.50(Academic) + 0.30(Legislative/Legal) + 0.20(Public). Screenshot 
]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>On Sunday Night with Bill Cunningham Show: To Discuss Gun Safety and Crime</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/on-sunday-night-with-bill-cunningham-show-to-discuss-gun-safety-and-crime/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65513</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott appeared on The Bill Cunningham national radio show to discuss how rising rates of lawful concealed carry, particularly among women, Black Americans, and Hispanic Americans, together with stronger law enforcement and immigration enforcement, have coincided with declining violent crime and historically low murder rates, while emphasizing that defensive gun use occurs far [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott appeared on The Bill Cunningham national radio show to discuss how rising rates of lawful concealed carry, particularly among women, Black Americans, and Hispanic Americans, together with stronger law enforcement and immigration enforcement, have coincided with declining violent crime and historically low murder rates, while emphasizing that defensive gun use occurs far more frequently than criminal gun use. See also Dr. Lott’s new piece at&#160;Real Clear Investigations titled “Gun Safety: Violent Crime Drops as More Americans Pack Heat [1].”  (Sunday, June 13, 2026) 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/06/at-real-clear-investigations-gun-safety-violent-crime-drops-as-more-americans-pack-heat/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Gunman shot by trooper and civilian after opening fire on Memorial Drive in Cambridge, more than 60 rounds were fired by the attacker</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/gunman-shot-by-trooper-and-civilian-after-opening-fire-on-memorial-drive-in-cambridge-more-than-60-rounds-were-fired-by-the-attacker/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 05:16:03 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65030</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Authorities say a civilian and trooper likely prevented a mass-casualty event on the crowded roadway. The gunman fired more than 60 rounds while walking beside the road before officers shot and wounded him. . A gunman who&#160;opened fire&#160;with what authorities said was an assault-style rifle on Memorial Drive in Cambridge, Massachusetts Monday afternoon was shot [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Authorities say a civilian and trooper likely prevented a mass-casualty event on the crowded roadway. [1] The gunman fired more than 60 rounds [2] while walking beside the road before officers shot and wounded him. . 
A gunman who&#160;opened fire [3]&#160;with what authorities said was an assault-style rifle on Memorial Drive in Cambridge, Massachusetts Monday afternoon was shot by a responding State Police trooper and a civilian. Two men in separate cars were shot and have life-threatening injuries.&#160; . The suspect, 46-year-old Tyler Brown of Boston, is in custody and is being treated for gunshot wounds at a Boston hospital.&#160; . It happened around 1:30 p.m. between River Street and the Pleasant Street extension. Videos from witnesses showed the gunman walking down the middle of the street firing and waving a rifle. . . . . Brown was&#160;walking down the middle of Memorial Drive [4], firing the rifle in “an erratic fashion at various vehicles along the road,” Ryan said at a&#160;news conference [5]&#160;Monday night.&#160; . Ryan said 50-to-60 rounds were fired and at least a dozen vehicles were hit by bullets. Two men in separate vehicles were shot and are currently being treated for life-threatening injuries at Boston hospitals.&#160; . As people scattered from their cars, Ryan said a State Police trooper and a civilian, a Marine veteran who has a license to carry a gun, went toward the suspect with their weapons.&#160; . “Both the trooper and the civilian fired their weapons, and that suspect was struck multiple times in the extremities,” Ryan said. . . .  .Matt Schooley, Louisa Moller, and Kristina Rex, “Gunman shot by trooper and civilian after opening fire on Memorial Drive in Cambridge; 2 in critical condition,” CBS News, May 12, 2026. [6]
 

[1] https://apnews.com/article/boston-cambridge-memorial-drive-shooting-d9ac815874b053bd997a9504a1094f12
[2] https://apnews.com/article/boston-cambridge-memorial-drive-shooting-d9ac815874b053bd997a9504a1094f12
[3] https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/cambridge-ma-shooting-memorial-drive-tyler-brown-witnesses/
[4] https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/video-cambridge-shooting-gun-memorial-drive/
[5] https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/video/da-provides-update-on-memorial-drive-shooting-suspect-in-custody/
[6] https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/cambridge-massachusetts-state-police-shooting-memorial-drive/?utm_source=chatgpt.com]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act of 2025 Passed Unanimously by the US House of Representatives.</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/featured/congressman-thomas-massies-nics-data-reporting-act-of-2025-passed-unanimously-by-the-us-house-of-representatives/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 12 May 2026 21:29:08 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Featured</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=65018</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[[embedded content] The House&#160;voted&#160;and passed on a unanimous voice vote Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee had previously passed the bill unanimously..&#160;Massie’s presentation on May 12, 2026 and the passage of the bill in the House is shown in the above video. Our discussion of the bill is provided in [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[
[embedded content]
 The House&#160;voted [1]&#160;and passed on a unanimous voice vote Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee had previously passed the bill unanimously..&#160;Massie’s presentation on May 12, 2026 and the passage of the bill in the House is shown in the above video. Our discussion of the bill is provided in the write up at Real Clear Politics [2]. Massie thanks Dr. John Lott for his work on this bill. Many Democrats don’t want to fix this because it would eliminate their big talking point&#160;about 5.1 million [3]&#160;dangerous or prohibited people having been stopped from buying guns since the instant background check system went into effect in 1998.  

[1] https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/2267/text?s=1&#38;r=2&#38;hl=Thomas+Massie+NICS+Data+Reporting+Act
[2] http://Massie's presentation on May 12, 2026 and the passage of the bill in the House is shown in the above video
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/12/the-nics-background-check-system-has-issued-5-1-million-denials-since-1998/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At Real Clear Politics: Gun Background Checks Are Failing the Wrong People</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-real-clear-politics-gun-background-checks-are-failing-the-wrong-people/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2026 15:57:44 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64993</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[. The background check system for gun purchases is a mess. Republicans have criticized Democratic presidents for failing to prosecute people denied gun purchases through background checks. Democrats have leveled the same criticism at Republican presidents. But both sides miss the real problem. The system generates mistaken denials – “false positives” – by confusing felons [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[.
The background check system for gun purchases is a mess. Republicans have criticized Democratic presidents for failing to prosecute people denied gun purchases through background checks. Democrats have leveled the same criticism at Republican presidents. But both sides miss the real problem. The system generates mistaken denials – “false positives” – by confusing felons with non-felons, so the denials aren’t real cases. And those errors disproportionately affect black and Hispanic males. . This week, the House will&#160;vote [1] on Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee passed the bill unanimously. The legislation would require the Department of Justice to collect data on errors in the background check system. . In the latest year available, the National Instant Criminal Background Check System denied&#160;116,587&#160;gun purchases in 2023 [2], but returned only 14 indictments and just five convictions. These numbers are nothing new. In 2022,&#160;there were 131,865 denials [3], 18 indicted, and three convictions. . For example, in 2013, Sen. Jeff Sessions, before becoming attorney general,&#160;accused [4]&#160;the Obama administration of failing to enforce existing gun laws against prohibited purchasers. After joining the first Trump administration as attorney general, Sessions pledged to “swiftly and aggressively prosecute [5]” prohibited individuals who attempted to buy firearms illegally. While in office, he&#160;declared [6]: “The National Instant Criminal Background Check System is critical for us to be able to keep guns out of the hands of those that are prohibited from owning them.” He even branded the effort as “Lie-and-Try” prosecutions. . But as I&#160;predicted at the time [7], Sessions’ efforts did not increase prosecutions. Gun-control groups such as the Giffords Law Center later&#160;complained [8]&#160;that the Trump administration also failed to enforce the background check system. . These cases are also extremely easy to prosecute: the buyer signs a form swearing they are not prohibited from purchasing a gun, presents government-issued ID, and is almost always recorded on video while attempting the purchase. Forgetting a long prison sentence is not a credible defense. . Sessions failed because these were not legitimate cases. Prosecutors can charge a felon who is legally barred from buying a gun, but they cannot realistically prosecute someone simply because he shares a phonetically similar name and a similar birth date with a felon. . The people most impacted by the false positives are poor minorities, since people tend to have names similar to others in their racial groups. Because a high proportion of black and Hispanic males are prohibited from owning guns, law-abiding minority males face the highest rate of background-check mistakes.&#160; . About&#160;33% of black males [9]&#160;and&#160;18% of Hispanic males have felony records, compared with only about 12% of American men overall. Given those differences, it is not surprising that the system’s mistakes disproportionately affect black and Hispanic males. . Many of those people are trying to buy guns to protect themselves. “This incredibly high rate of false positives imposes a real burden on the most vulnerable people,”&#160;said [10]&#160;Reagan Dunn, the first national coordinator for Project Safe Neighborhoods, a Justice Department program started in 2001 to ensure gun laws are enforced. . People who are denied can file an appeal, but most must hire a lawyer to do so. Legal fees are expensive, typically starting at around $3,000. Many who start the process drop it after they see how costly it is. Many people may want a gun for protection, yet even middle-income individuals may decide that the cost of an appeal exceeds the value they place on owning a gun. . Fortunately, there’s an easy fix. The government should be required to use all of the information that it collects when gun buyers fill out the form to buy a gun (e.g., exact names, Social Security numbers, and addresses). If private companies constantly confused innocent people with criminals when doing background checks on employees, lawsuits would drive them out of business.&#160;&#160; . Many Democrats don’t want to fix this because it would eliminate their big talking point&#160;about 5.1 million [11]&#160;dangerous or prohibited people having been stopped from buying guns since the instant background check system went into effect in 1998. Many Republicans have also invested a lot in attacking Obama and the Democrats for not enforcing gun control laws and prosecuting more prohibited purchasers.&#160;&#160; . Fortunately, Massie’s bill that Congress looks set to pass this week will help make these problems clear and them hopefully lead to changes that will actually fix the system.&#160; . Everyone wants to stop dangerous people from buying guns. But let’s fix the system so it stops those who are at risk of causing harm, not law-abiding citizens who want to protect themselves and their families.&#160;&#160; . John R. Lott Jr. is president of the Crime Prevention Research Center. He served as the senior advisor for research and statistics in the Office of Justice Programs and the Office of Legal Policy in the U.S. Department of Justice during 2020-21. John R. Lott, Jr., “Gun Background Checks Are Failing the Wrong People,” Real Clear Politics, May 11, 2026. [12]


[1] https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/2267/text?s=1&#38;r=2&#38;hl=Thomas+Massie+NICS+Data+Reporting+Act
[2] https://www.justice.gov/ovw/media/1375616/dl
[3] https://www.justice.gov/ovw/media/1347496/dl
[4] https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2013/apr/16/jeff-sessions/jeff-sessions-says-gun-prosecutions-have-declined-/
[5] https://dailycaller.com/2018/04/05/sessions-background-check-policy-will-fail/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[6] https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/attorney-general-jeff-sessions-directs-fbi-and-atf-conduct-comprehensive-review-national?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[7] https://dailycaller.com/2018/04/05/sessions-background-check-policy-will-fail/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[8] https://democracyforward.org/news/press-releases/giffords-law-center-demands-answers-fbi-trump-administration-removed-fugitives-national-background-check-system-gun-sales/
[9] https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13524-017-0611-1
[10] https://crimeresearch.org/2018/02/op-ed-new-york-times-background-checks-not-answer-gun-violence/
[11] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/12/the-nics-background-check-system-has-issued-5-1-million-denials-since-1998/
[12] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/05/11/gun_background_checks_are_failing_the_wrong_people_154110.html]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Vote Fraud: If there is “big money” in getting signatures for petitions and that big money creates an incentive for fraud, why isn’t there also an incentive for fraud in voting?</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/vote-fraud-if-there-is-big-money-in-getting-signatures-for-petitions-and-that-big-money-creates-an-incentive-for-fraud-why-isnt-there-also-an-incentive-for-fraud-in-voting/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2026 00:17:03 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64989</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[[embedded content] ABC Channel KGO: In San Francisco’s Tenderloin last month, Philip Deshaun Brunson, a 50-year-old Detroit man with a criminal record, allegedly paid homeless individuals $5 each to forge signatures for “Building a Better California.” Signature gathers themselves were being paid $15 for each signature. A viral video captured Brunson instructing people to use [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[
[embedded content]
 
ABC Channel KGO [1]: In San Francisco’s Tenderloin last month, Philip Deshaun Brunson, a 50-year-old Detroit man with a criminal record, allegedly paid homeless individuals $5 each to forge signatures for “Building a Better California.” Signature gathers themselves were being paid $15 for each signature. A viral video captured Brunson instructing people to use neat handwriting before confronting ABC7 reporter Dan Noyes. The campaign says it rejected all of Brunson’s submissions and maintains a zero-tolerance policy for fraud. State officials and the San Francisco District Attorney are now investigating the alleged felony-level forgery, raising concerns about potential threats to California’s ballot process, in which counties manually verify signatures against voter rolls.
 Democrats spent $40 per vote ($64 million, possibly about $70 million [2]) for the 1.604 million votes for the April 21, 2026 vote on the redistricting referendum. If they spend $40 per possibly vote (possibly $44), how much would they spend for a certain vote? If politicians are willing to pay for people to sign petitions, are they willing to pay people to vote? How much are political parties willing to bribe people to provide a certain vote? 

[1] https://abc7news.com/post/abc7-eyewitness-news-team-identifies-man-viral-video-confrontation-fake-petition-signatures-san-francisco-tenderloin/19059881/
[2] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/social-media-erupts-after-democrats-burned-64m-failed-virginia-gerrymander]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Defensive Gun Uses Occur About Five Times More Often Than Criminals Use Gun in Crime</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/defensive-gun-uses-occur-about-five-times-more-often-than-criminals-use-gun-in-crime/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2026 22:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64990</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[by johnrlott &#124; May 13, 2026 &#124; Defensive Gun Use Authorities say a civilian and trooper likely prevented a mass-casualty event on the crowded roadway. The gunman fired more than 60 rounds while walking beside the road before officers shot and wounded him. . A gunman who&#160;opened fire&#160;with what authorities&#8230; by johnrlott &#124; May 12, [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[  [1] by johnrlott [2] &#124; May 13, 2026 &#124; Defensive Gun Use [3]Authorities say a civilian and trooper likely prevented a mass-casualty event on the crowded roadway. The gunman fired more than 60 rounds while walking beside the road before officers shot and wounded him. . A gunman who&#160;opened fire&#160;with what authorities...
   [4] by johnrlott [2] &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Featured [6]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7KnRhAyM6A The House&#160;voted&#160;and passed on a unanimous voice vote Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee had previously passed the bill unanimously..&#160;Massie's presentation on May 12, 2026 and...
   [7] by RW [8] &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Radio [9]Dr. John Lott appeared on John Solomon Reports to discuss how the legacy media manipulates statistics to downplay the issues of criminal aliens. Dr. Lott's insights are critical for understanding the narrative surrounding crime and immigration in America. (Tuesday,...
 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/gunman-shot-by-trooper-and-civilian-after-opening-fire-on-memorial-drive-in-cambridge-more-than-60-rounds-were-fired-by-the-attacker/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/author/johnrlott/
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/category/defensive-gun-use/
[4] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/congressman-thomas-massies-nics-data-reporting-act-of-2025-passed-unanimously-by-the-us-house-of-representatives/
[5] https://crimeresearch.org/author/johnrlott/
[6] https://crimeresearch.org/category/featured/
[7] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/on-john-solomon-reports-to-discuss-crime-statistics-and-media-manipulation/
[8] https://crimeresearch.org/author/rujunwang/
[9] https://crimeresearch.org/category/radio/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Direct Evidence of Criminals Being Inspired to Commit Crime because Other Criminals have gotten Media Attention. We See it now in the “Luigi Mangione effect”Violence Inspired by Mangione.</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/direct-evidence-of-criminals-being-inspired-to-commit-crime-because-other-criminals-have-gotten-media-attention-we-see-it-now-in-the-luigi-mangione-effectviolence-inspired-by-mangio/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 00:36:30 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64925</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Mass public shooters often explicitly plan their attacks to maximize news coverage. As shown at the bottom of this post, many explicitly state this goal in their manifestos and diaries. These killers also study and imitate previous attackers, including by choosing gun-free zones as targets. We are now seeing a similar phenomenon with criminals inspired [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Mass public shooters often explicitly plan their attacks to maximize news coverage. As shown at the bottom of this post, many explicitly state this goal in their manifestos and diaries. These killers also study and imitate previous attackers, including by choosing gun-free zones as targets [1]. We are now seeing a similar phenomenon with criminals inspired by Luigi Mangione murdering a businessman. Admirers have repeatedly observed that Mangione was attractive, intelligent, anti-establishment, and “morally justified.” [2] Here are some criminals who were inspired to commit their crimes by Mangione. 
Jonathan Rinderknecht&#160;(30, California): Accused of intentionally starting the Palisades Fire (also called the Lachman Fire) in the Santa Monica Mountains on or around January 1, 2025. The fire became one of California’s most destructive wildfires, killing 12 people, destroying thousands of homes/structures, and causing billions in damage. Prosecutors state he was “fixated” on Mangione in the weeks/hours before the arson: he searched terms like “Free Luigi,” viewed Mangione as a Robin Hood-like vigilante hero against the wealthy [3], and ranted to Uber passengers about capitalism, the rich, and vigilantism while driving erratically. He faces federal arson charges (pleaded not guilty; trial scheduled for June 2026).&#160; Chamel Abdulkarim&#160;(29, California): Accused of arson at a Kimberly-Clark paper goods warehouse/distribution center in Ontario, CA, in April 2026. He allegedly filmed himself setting stacks of inventory on fire while ranting about low wages and capitalism (“All you had to do was pay us enough to live”), causing ~$500–600 million in damage. Afterward, he texted a co-worker explicitly comparing himself to Mangione (“Luigi popped that mutherf—er… a lot of people are going to understand”) [4]. He faces federal and state arson charges (pleaded not guilty).&#160; Daniel Moreno-Gama&#160;(also referred to as Daniel Alejandro Moreno-Gama, 20, Texas): Accused of throwing a Molotov cocktail at OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s San Francisco home (April 2026) and later threatening to burn down OpenAI headquarters while carrying kerosene and an anti-AI manifesto. Months earlier, in online chats (including with podcast producers), he referenced “Luigi’ing some tech CEOs” as a provocative idea [5]. He faces charges including attempted murder and arson (pleaded not guilty).&#160; Riley Jane English, a 24-year-old transgender woman, (also referred to in some reports as Ryan Michael English, Massachusetts): Accused of making terroristic threats/planning violence at the U.S. Capitol in January 2025, including targeting Trump administration officials. She allegedly told police she was inspired by Mangione [6] (more cite also here [7]). This falls under criminal threats charges. Briana Boston, 42, threatened her health insurance provider, Blue Cross Blue Shield, after they denied her claim. She allegedly said “Delay, deny, depose. You people are next,” and told police she used it because it was “in the news.”&#160;The words “delay,” “deny” and “depose” were written on the casings left at the scene of the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in a New York City [8]. Shane Devon Tamura killed four before suicide) is another example of Mangione “inspiring” violence. Prosecutors in Mangione’s federal case have cited the July 2025 mass shooting at NFL headquarters in Manhattan [9]. Tamura left anti-NFL writings (blaming football for CTE), but public reports do not show Tamura himself explicitly referencing Mangione by name.
 Now here are examples of mass public shooters who were driven by their desire to get media attention. 
Seung-Hui Cho (Virginia Tech, 2007)Cho mailed a multimedia manifesto to NBC News between the first and second phases of his attack [10]. He repeatedly framed himself as becoming historically significant and compared himself to Columbine shooters Eric Harris and Dylan Klebold. Investigators and later analyses noted that Cho appeared obsessed with the publicity surrounding prior mass killers. After Virginia Tech, multiple later attackers explicitly referenced Cho’s death toll of 32 victims as a benchmark to exceed.&#160; Eric Harris and Dylan Klebold (Columbine, 1999)Their journals and “Basement Tapes [11]” show extensive discussion about becoming infamous and being remembered forever. Harris wrote about wanting to “kick-start a revolution” and predicted movies would be made about them. They also discussed body counts and the scale of destruction they hoped to achieve. Columbine itself later became a reference point for numerous copycat attackers. Adam Lanza (Sandy Hook, 2012)Lanza maintained spreadsheets and research on mass killers and appears to have been highly focused on prior massacres and their notoriety. He reportedly admired Anders Breivik and other mass murderers [12]. While he left no conventional manifesto, his writings and online activity suggest obsession with mass killings as historical events that generated attention. Anders Behring Breivik (Norway, 2011)Breivik’s 1,518-page manifesto explicitly discussed publicity strategy [13]. He described the attack as “marketing” for his ideological message and carefully planned media impact, including distribution of the manifesto immediately before the killings. Brenton Tarrant (Christchurch mosque shootings, 2019)Tarrant’s manifesto and livestream strategy were designed explicitly for viral media dissemination [14]. He referenced internet fame culture and meme amplification, and he intended the attack to achieve maximum online circulation. Pekka-Eric Auvinen (Jokela school shooting, Finland, 2007)Posted videos and a manifesto online [15] before the attack, calling himself a “natural selector.” He sought recognition and distributed material intended to gain attention after the shooting. Elliot Rodger (Isla Vista, 2014)Rodger’s lengthy manifesto (“My Twisted World [16]”) and YouTube videos repeatedly emphasized that the attack would make the world finally notice him. He explicitly connected violence with gaining recognition and historical importance. Payton Gendron (Buffalo supermarket shooting, 2022)His writings reflected awareness of prior mass shooters and online notoriety culture [17]. He discussed live streaming and media impact in ways similar to Christchurch attacker Brenton Tarrant [18]. Audrey Hale (The Covenant School, Nashville, 2023; 6 killed) Recovered journals explicitly stated desires for infamy [19], including lines such as “I will die a shooter, hopefully to become infamous… and I will be the horror to inflict pain” and “It’s infamous to die young!” The writings framed the attack as a path to lasting notoriety. Dimitrios Pagourtzis (Santa Fe High School, Texas, 2018): According to the probable cause affidavit and police interviews, he told officers he deliberately spared certain students he liked “so he could have his story told.” [20] Journals and writings reflected obsession with gaining notoriety through the attack.
 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/08/at-the-wall-street-journal-another-mass-shooting-in-a-gun-free-zone/
[2] https://www.wired.com/story/inside-the-contentious-world-of-luigi-mangione-supporters/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[3] https://www.foxnews.com/us/palisades-fire-suspect-allegedly-fixated-luigi-mangione-held-resentment-rich-court-docs
[4] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/california-warehouse-worker-accused-arson-raged-online-capitalism-rcna331983
[5] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/altman-attack-suspect-allegedly-talked-181255648.html
[6] https://www.foxnews.com/us/man-charged-carrying-molotoc-cocktails-capitol-allegedy-targeted-bessent-hegseth-johnson
[7] https://apnews.com/article/ryan-michael-english-capitol-41e82c1d40f8c2ddcb5fe21ebbcc003b
[8] https://apnews.com/article/florida-woman-delay-deny-depose-blue-cross-shield-64aff53370f775c3eeb8ecfeb7c3a4fd
[9] https://abcnews.com/US/luigi-mangione-influenced-mass-shooting-manhattans-nfl-headquarters/story?id=125090428
[10] https://abcnews.com/GMA/story?id=3055889&#38;page=1&#38;utm_source=chatgpt.com
[11] https://time.com/archive/6598208/the-columbine-tapes/
[12] https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/report-sandy-hook-elementary-school-gunman-adam-lanza-was-obsessed-with-norwegian/
[13] https://www.jstor.org/tc/accept?origin=%2Fstable%2Fpdf%2Fresrep31912.8.pdf%3Futm_source%3Dchatgpt.com&#38;is_image=False
[14] https://vortex.uni.mau.se/2024/08/13-years-on-the-enduring-influence-of-breiviks-manifesto-on-far-right-terror/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[15] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/nov/08/schoolsworldwide.education
[16] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/05/25/us/shooting-document.html
[17] https://icct.nl/publication/buffalo-attack-analysis-manifesto
[18] https://icct.nl/publication/buffalo-attack-analysis-manifesto
[19] https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/05/us/covenant-school-shooter-audrey-hale-writings
[20] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44186989]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>13 D.C. officers placed on leave in crime statistics investigation</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/13-d-c-officers-placed-on-leave-in-crime-statistics-investigation/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2026 16:34:09 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64915</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[We previously posted how the D.C. Police Union said that Mayor Bowser’s claim that the Crime-data Manipulation is isolated to one precinct is “Preposterous.” It turns out that Trump was Justified in auditing the D.C. Crime Data. Not sure anyone should believe DC’s crime numbers before Trump’s federalization of the district’s law enforcement last year. [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[We previously posted [1] how the D.C. Police Union said that Mayor Bowser’s claim that the Crime-data Manipulation is isolated to one precinct is “Preposterous.” It turns out that Trump was Justified in auditing the D.C. Crime Data. Not sure anyone should believe DC’s crime numbers before Trump’s federalization of the district’s law enforcement last year. It means the drop in violent crime by Trump was actually greater than previously reported [2]. . Everyone of the 13 involved the rank of captain or higher [3]. Captains often serve as the “Sector Commander” within one of the&#160;MPD’s seven police districts.&#160; The officers included [4]: Assistant Chiefs:&#160;High-ranking leaders including&#160;LaShay Makal&#160;and&#160;Andre Wright.Commanders:&#160;District leaders such as&#160;Tatjana Savoy&#160;(2nd District) and&#160;Michael Pulliam&#160;(former 3rd District).Captains:&#160;Multiple captains are reportedly among those served with termination papers. It looks like there are at least three captains, but the exact number isn’t known.Lieutenants:&#160;The D.C. Police Union has specifically accused officials at the rank of lieutenant and above of ordering the manipulation of crime reports . 
Washington interim Police Chief Jeffery Carroll said Tuesday that 13 officers have been placed on administrative leave in connection with an internal investigation into how the department keeps crime statistics, a subject that also has been looked into by Congress and the U.S. Attorney’s Office. Speaking at a press conference on Tuesday, Carroll said the&#160;officers were placed on administrative leave [5]&#160;on Monday following an investigation that began earlier this year after a referral from the U.S. Attorney’s Office. . . . Gary Fields, “13 D.C. officers placed on leave in crime statistics investigation,” Police1, May 6, 2026. [6]
 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/08/the-d-c-police-union-says-that-mayor-bowsers-claim-that-the-crime-data-manipulation-is-isolated-to-one-precinct-is-preposterous/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/04/so-is-there-really-a-question-of-whether-trump-reduced-crime-in-dc-did-the-washington-post-inaccurately-report-murder-data-to-make-the-drop-look-smaller-than-it-actually-is/
[3] https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/mpd-chief-officers-disciplined-allegations-crime-data-manipulation/4100647/
[4] https://www.fox5dc.com/news/several-dc-police-leaders-face-termination-amid-crime-data-probe-post-reports
[5] https://www.police1.com/investigations/multiple-d-c-police-leaders-face-termination-amid-crime-data-probe-report-says
[6] https://www.police1.com/investigations/13-d-c-officers-placed-on-leave-in-crime-statistics-investigation]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>CPRC in the News: Union Leader (New Hampshire), Daily Sentinel (New York), Townhall, The Heartlander, Bearing Arms, and much more</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/cprc-in-the-news-union-leader-new-hampshire-daily-sentinel-new-york-townhall-the-heartlander-bearing-arms-and-much-more/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sun, 03 May 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64663</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Some gun rights advocates cite research by economist John Lott, who leads the Crime Prevention Research Center, suggesting that about 82% of mass shootings occurred in gun-free zones between 1998 and 2025. “All you do by creating a gun-free zone is creating a magnet — just read the diaries and manifestos. All you do is [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[ 
Some gun rights advocates cite research by economist John Lott, who leads the Crime Prevention Research Center, suggesting that about 82% of mass shootings occurred in gun-free zones between 1998 and 2025. “All you do by creating a gun-free zone is creating a magnet — just read the diaries and manifestos. All you do is create a magnet for those who want to go and kill people,” Lott, who also served as a senior adviser for research and statistics at the U.S. Department of Justice during the first Trump administration, told Stateline. . . .  Amanda Walford, “State lawmakers push to expand laws allowing guns on college campuses,” Union Leader (Manchester, NH), March 18, 2026. [1]
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According to Prof. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center, 32 states allow teachers to voluntarily carry legally as long as they’re trained and possess a carry license. To date, no mass shootings have occurred in a school where teachers are allowed to carry. New York is not one of those states. . . . Bohdan Rabarsky, “Many questions left unasked or unanswered in local school shooting plot,” Daily Sentinel, April 22, 2026. [2]
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Writing for The Federalist, John Lott Jr., who&#160;runs [3]&#160;the Crime Prevention Research Center, said the weapons used by alleged assailant Cole Allen were purchased in California – a state gun-control advocates often cite as&#160;having [4]&#160;the “best,” or most restrictive, gun laws. “The attacker had a 12-gauge Mossberg Maverick 88 pump-action shotgun and an Armscor Precision .38 semi-automatic pistol. The guns were obtained from two different gun stores in California,” wrote Lott, who also authored a report&#160;referenced [5]&#160;in a&#160;Lion article on transgender violence. That did not stop Democrat politicians and members of the media from calling for additional restrictions. Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Maryland,&#160;called [6]&#160;for “universal, violent criminal background check[s],” despite California already enforcing such measures. While it makes a strong talking point, Lott’s research “shows that not a single mass public shooting this century would have been prevented by universal background checks, even if they had been perfectly enforced nationwide.” Another Democrat official&#160;called [7]&#160;for closing “lethal loopholes” on “military grade weapons,” despite no such weapons being used in the attack and California already maintaining similar bans. Members of&#160;The View&#160;pressed Trump and the White House to&#160;embrace [8]&#160;gun control following the attack, but Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche&#160;urged [9]&#160;lawmakers to stand firm, arguing in favor of the rights of law-abiding gun owners. Lott cited additional examples of gun-control groups advocating policies already in place in California, where the firearms were purchased. Even with the restrictions, the state’s “per capita rate of mass public shootings has consistently exceeded that of the rest of the country,” even by as much as 100%. Gun-control advocates frequently criticize Texas, a pro-gun state, but Texas has a much lower mass shooting rate, Lott reported. He also pointed to assassination&#160;trends [10]&#160;across the Americas, noting most occur in Central and South America, where gun laws are stricter, not in North America. All of this points to the need to advocate for policies that would actually reduce the threat of violence. . . . [Much more available here] Adam Wittenberg, “Expert: Gun control measures wouldn’t have stopped Trump assassination attempt; other solutions needed,” The Heartlander, May 1, 2026. [11]
  
The Crime Prevention Research Center documents that concealed carry permit holders commit firearms violations at roughly one-seventh the rate of police officers. . . . Jay Rogers, “You Are on Your Own in America’s Progressive Cities,” Townhall, May 2, 2026. [12]
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“In 2024 transgender individuals committed active shooting attacks at least 12 times their share of the population and possibly more than 16 times their share,” the Crime Prevention Research&#160;Center [13]&#160;concluded.&#160; “Researchers measure attacks in different ways (for example, distinguishing between active shooting attacks and mass public shootings), but regardless of how one breaks down the data, transgender individuals commit these attacks at disproportionately high rates.” . . . Adam Wittenberg, “Violence&#160;and transgender ideology: Exposing the link that drives some people to kill,” The Lion, April 23, 2026. [14]
   
In 2025, the number of officers feloniously killed fell to its lowest level since 2020. According to the&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center’s [15]&#160;review of FBI LEOKA data, 53 officers were feloniously killed in 2025, down 17.2% from 2024. Early 2026 data also point lower, with 10 officers feloniously killed in the first three months of the year, compared with 15 in the same period of 2025 and 14 in the same period of 2024. The FBI’s LEOKA system relies on voluntary reporting from participating law enforcement agencies. The&#160;Officers Down Memorial Page [16]&#160;(ODMP) appears to have more complete data than the FBI Law Enforcement Officers Killed and Assaulted (LEOKA) data. The LEOKA data depends on voluntary reporting from law enforcement agencies. The&#160;ODMP evaluates officer deaths [17]&#160;that are submitted to it. The largest discrepancy noticed was in 2013, where ODMP listed 37 officers feloniously killed in that year, and LEOKA lists 27.&#160; In 2025, the two numbers are the same. The&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center [18]&#160;has compared the first three months of 2026 with the first three months of 2024 and 2025, using the LEOKA data.&#160; You can see that 2026 is lower than the previous years for the first quarter. The number of officers feloniously killed has been dropping since the 1970s. There are reasons for this drop. It has not been smooth. The numbers are relatively small, so there are significant changes from year to year. The chart below shows the number of officers killed feloniously with firearms from 1961 to 2013, using LEOKA data. . . . Dean Weingarten, “Police Murders Fell in 2025, Down Again in Early 2026,” Ammoland, April 20, 2026. [19]
  
As Dr. John Lott covered in his seminal work, “More Guns, Less Crime,” the fundamental premise of the gun control movement is a lie. Crime trends in the United States rise and fall over time, while the number of guns in circulation has climbed steadily over the decades. Since 2020, for instance, we’ve witnessed a huge surge in both gun sales and violent crime, but over the past couple of years crime has plunged across the country, while there are still more than 1-million firearms being sold each and every month.&#160; California Attorney General Rob Bonta touted the state’s crime figures this week, boasting that last year the Golden State had the&#160;fewest number [20]&#160;of homicides, suicides, and “firearm deaths” since 1968. What Bonta&#160;didn’t&#160;highlight during his press conference, however, was that California has far more firearms than it did just a few years ago. . . . Cam Edwards, “California AG Admits the State Has More Guns and Less Crime,” Bearing Arms, April 22, 2026. [21]
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Are transgender killers rare? Media in both&#160;Canada [22]&#160;and&#160;the US [23]&#160;are quick to claim that transgender killers are rare.&#160;But are they [24]? Recent mass murders by trans shooters make such claims a hard sell. Recent attacks by trans teens The shooter in&#160;Tumbler Ridge [25]&#160;was trans. The RCMP identified Jesse Van Rootselaar as the shooter who killed eight people in February this year — including his mother and half-brother — before turning a gun on himself. The 18-year-old male began transitioning to female about six years earlier. The teenager had been the subject of police calls related to mental health and weapons in the past two years. More recently&#160;a 15-year-old girl [26]&#160;who goes by “he/him” pronouns has been arrested in Nova Scotia after being caught planning a massacre at her school. The 15-year-old is accused of conspiring with a 14-year-old Manitoba boy to launch simultaneous attacks on their respective high schools in Bridgewater, N.S., and Rivers, Man. Police in Bridgewater arrested the 15-year-old last week and searched a home where they said they uncovered handwritten plans and imitation weapons, including an imitation pipe bomb. Transgender killers are over-represented To find out just how rare trans shooters are,&#160;John Lott [27]&#160;at Crime Prevention Research Center looked at the data. To see the full analysis, read the original. It’s way better than this summary. According to&#160;FBI statistics [28], 2.5% of active shooting attacks were by transgender individuals between 2018 and 2024, Lott found. Raw frequencies don’t tell the whole story. Estimates vary, but between 0.76% and 1.1% of the American population can be considered transgender. Both&#160;Gallup [29]&#160;and the&#160;Williams Institute [30]&#160;at UCLA independently estimated that, between 2021-2023, about 1% of the US population identify as transgender. Because trans shooters tend to be younger than the adult population, even as young as 12, adjusting for age,&#160;the true percentage [31]&#160;may be 0.76%. Trans individuals are over-represented in mass shootings Trans individuals are&#160;over-represented [32]&#160;in mass shootings to their share of the population since so few people identify as transgender. If trans shooters make up 2.5% of the active shooting attacks but only constitute 1% [or less] of the population, they are over-represented. Transgender individuals commit active shooting attacks&#160;between 2.5 and 3.4 [33]&#160;times their share of the population in the United States. Encouraging youth to believe they can abandon their biological sex and become transgender is a dangerous deception. Not only for the deluded individual youth, but for society. . . . . [and much more] Gary Mauser, “Are transgender killers rare?” Justice for Gun Owners, April 7, 2026. [34]
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O primeiro grande estudo a expor a lógica falha por trás das leis de controle de armas surgiu em 1997. Conduzido por John Lott e David Mustard, o estudo acabou se tornando o best-seller “&#160;Mais Armas, Menos Crimes” [35]&#160;. Usando dados de todos os condados dos EUA ao longo de 15 anos, Lott argumentou que os estados com licenças de porte oculto de “emissão obrigatória” (fáceis de obter) apresentaram reduções significativas em crimes violentos como homicídio, estupro e agressão qualificada. . . . Adam Garrie, “Liberdade de saúde: a prova irrefutável,” BROWNSTONE INSTITUTE, April 18, 2026. [36]
  
For years, concealed carry permit numbers were the clearest, most reliable indicator of how many Americans were taking responsibility for their own safety. But that landscape has changed — dramatically. A brand-new analysis from the&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC)&#160;shows that&#160;concealed carry permit holders&#160;have declined for the&#160;third&#160;year in a row. And for anyone who doesn’t understand the broader trend, that headline might look like fewer people are choosing to carry firearms. But that assumption couldn’t be more wrong. Across the United States, more people are carrying than ever… they’re just no longer required to ask the government for permission first. According to the CPRC report, the number of&#160;concealed carry permit holders&#160;dropped from 21.47 million in 2024 to&#160;20.88 million in 2025&#160;— a 2.7% decline. That might sound concerning until you realize&#160;why&#160;it’s happening:Mitch Goerdt, “How Constitutional Carry Is Reshaping America: What the Data Really Shows About Concealed Carry Permit Holders,” ConcealedCarry.com, December 10, 2025. [37]
 

[1] https://www.unionleader.com/news/education/state-lawmakers-push-to-expand-laws-allowing-guns-on-college-campuses/article_47519062-21a4-4a53-8828-23eaea6e1527.html
[2] https://www.romesentinel.com/opinion/many-questions-left-unasked-or-unanswered-in-local-school-shooting-plot/article_8dbb4529-b858-4d34-be7c-5a27d2d32296.html
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/
[4] https://giffords.org/lawcenter/resources/scorecard/
[5] https://readlion.com/violence-and-transgender-ideology-exposing-the-link-that-drives-some-people-to-kill/
[6] https://bearingarms.com/tomknighton/2026/04/27/as-another-would-be-assassin-fails-to-kill-trump-democrats-calling-for-gun-control-again-n1232346
[7] https://x.com/malcolmkenyatta/status/2048472024750735533
[8] https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2026/04/27/the-view-relish-trump-and-his-cabinet-felt-the-fear-for-their-lives-during-whcd-in-push-for-gun-control/
[9] https://www.axios.com/2026/04/26/trump-white-house-correspondents-dinner-gun-laws
[10] https://assassination.globalinitiative.net/monitor/
[11] https://heartlandernews.com/2026/05/01/expert-gun-control-measures-wouldnt-have-stopped-trump-assassination-attempt-other-solutions-needed/
[12] https://townhall.com/columnists/jay-rogers/2026/05/02/you-are-on-your-own-in-americas-progressive-cities-n2675215
[13] https://crimeresearch.org/
[14] https://readlion.com/violence-and-transgender-ideology-exposing-the-link-that-drives-some-people-to-kill/
[15] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/04/fewer-police-being-murdered-felonious-deaths-of-police-fell-17-2-in-2025-and-is-down-33-3-during-the-first-three-months-of-2026-compared-to-the-first-three-months-of-2025/
[16] https://www.odmp.org/search/year/2025?sort=date_eow&#38;order=DESC&#38;eow_start=2025-01-01&#38;eow_end=2025-12-31&#38;additional=Officer&#38;page=0&#38;pageSize=48
[17] https://www.odmp.org/info/criteria-for-inclusion
[18] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/04/fewer-police-being-murdered-felonious-deaths-of-police-fell-17-2-in-2025-and-is-down-33-3-during-the-first-three-months-of-2026-compared-to-the-first-three-months-of-2025/
[19] https://www.ammoland.com/2026/04/police-murders-fell-in-2025-down-again-in-early-2026/
[20] https://abc7.com/post/california-sees-lowest-numbers-firearm-related-deaths-1968-attorney-general-rob-bonta-says/18935111/
[21] https://bearingarms.com/camedwards/2026/04/22/california-ag-admits-the-state-has-more-guns-and-less-crime-n1232301
[22] https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/tumbler-ridge-shooting-trans-community-false-claims-9.7085078
[23] https://www.politifact.com/article/2025/sep/09/trans-people-mass-shootings-gun-violence/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[24] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[25] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15552049/Jesse-Van-Rootselaar-Trans-shooter-Canada-high-school.html
[26] https://x.com/wesyang/status/2036458017151950986
[27] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[28] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[29] https://news.gallup.com/poll/702206/lgbtq-identification-holds.aspx
[30] https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/wp-content/uploads/Trans-Pop-Update-Aug-2025.pdf
[31] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[32] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[33] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[34] https://justiceforgunowners.ca/are-transgender-killers-rare/
[35] https://archive.org/details/moregunslesscrim00lott
[36] https://hdepaola.substack.com/p/liberdade-de-saude-a-prova-irrefutavel
[37] https://www.concealedcarry.com/national/concealed-carry-permit-holders-2025-analysis/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>New Rasmussen Reports Survey: 70% of Republicans Want All Illegal Aliens Deported, 65% of Democrats and 53% of Other Voter Oppose It.</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/new-rasmussen-reports-survey-70-of-republicans-want-all-illegal-aliens-deported-65-of-democrats-and-53-of-other-voter-oppose-it/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sun, 03 May 2026 11:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64878</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[by johnrlott &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Featured https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7KnRhAyM6A The House&#160;voted&#160;and passed on a unanimous voice vote Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee had previously passed the bill unanimously..&#160;Massie&#8217;s presentation on May 12, 2026 and&#8230; by RW &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Radio Dr. John Lott appeared on John Solomon [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[  [1] by johnrlott [2] &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Featured [3]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7KnRhAyM6A The House&#160;voted&#160;and passed on a unanimous voice vote Congressman Thomas Massie’s NICS Data Reporting Act. The House Judiciary Committee had previously passed the bill unanimously..&#160;Massie's presentation on May 12, 2026 and...
   [4] by RW [5] &#124; May 12, 2026 &#124; Radio [6]Dr. John Lott appeared on John Solomon Reports to discuss how the legacy media manipulates statistics to downplay the issues of criminal aliens. Dr. Lott's insights are critical for understanding the narrative surrounding crime and immigration in America. (Tuesday,...
   [7] by johnrlott [2] &#124; May 11, 2026 &#124; background checks [9], op-ed [10]Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at Real Clear Politics. . The background check system for gun purchases is a mess. Republicans have criticized Democratic presidents for failing to prosecute people denied gun purchases through background checks. Democrats have leveled...
 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/congressman-thomas-massies-nics-data-reporting-act-of-2025-passed-unanimously-by-the-us-house-of-representatives/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/author/johnrlott/
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/category/featured/
[4] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/on-john-solomon-reports-to-discuss-crime-statistics-and-media-manipulation/
[5] https://crimeresearch.org/author/rujunwang/
[6] https://crimeresearch.org/category/radio/
[7] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/05/at-real-clear-politics-gun-background-checks-are-failing-the-wrong-people/
[8] https://crimeresearch.org/author/johnrlott/
[9] https://crimeresearch.org/category/background-checks/
[10] https://crimeresearch.org/category/op-ed/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Ann Arbor Removes Anti-crime Signs to be More Inclusive</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/ann-arbor-removes-anti-crime-signs-to-be-more-inclusive/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 21:33:20 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64846</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[[embedded content] Why do Democrats worry that Community Watch Anti-crime signs will not be welcoming? A key 2008 DOJ meta-analysis,&#160;Does Neighborhood Watch Reduce Crime? reviewed 18 evaluations and concluded that the majority of programs showed positive results. The studies showing an&#160;average reduction in crime of 16% to 26% in areas with active programs. . Democrat-dominated [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[
[embedded content]
 Why do Democrats worry that Community Watch Anti-crime signs will not be welcoming? A key 2008 DOJ meta-analysis,&#160;Does Neighborhood Watch Reduce Crime? [1] reviewed 18 evaluations and concluded that the majority of programs showed positive results. The studies showing an&#160;average reduction in crime of 16% to 26% in areas with active programs. . 
Democrat-dominated Ann Arbor is raising eyebrows and garnering widespread mockery for removing all of its anti-crime [2]&#160;watch signs across the city to be more “inclusive.” . The move even prompted a&#160;New York City [3]&#160;Council member, Republican Vickie Paladino, to say, “They’re just insane.” . The&#160;Michigan [4]&#160;city announced on Tuesday that, at the direction of the City Council, it completed the citywide removal of more than 600 neighborhood watch signs. In a statement, the city explained that “removing the signs aligns the city’s environment with its commitment to inclusive, evidence-based public safety.” . . . Peter Pinedo and Andrew Mark Miller, “Liberal city removes anti-crime signs to be more inclusive: ‘Just insane’,” Fox News, April 30, 2026. [5]
 

[1] https://www.ojp.gov/library/publications/effectiveness-neighborhood-watch#:~:text=The%20authors%20explore%20the%20effectiveness,studies%20(covering%2018%20evaluations).
[2] https://www.foxnews.com/category/crime
[3] https://www.foxnews.com/category/us/new-york-city
[4] https://www.foxnews.com/category/us/us-regions/midwest/michigan
[5] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/liberal-city-removes-anti-crime-signs-more-inclusive-just-insane]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At the New York Post: The whole world laughs at Democrats’ lame voter-ID claims </title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-the-new-york-post-the-whole-world-laughs-at-democrats-lame-voter-id-claims/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 22:30:57 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64350</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at the New York Post on the debate over the SAVE Act. . Senate Democrats are fighting tooth and nail against the SAVE Act, arguing that requiring Americans to prove their identity with a photo ID when they go to the polls to vote — even when [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at the New York Post on the debate over the SAVE Act..
Senate Democrats are fighting tooth and nail against the SAVE Act, arguing that requiring Americans to prove their identity with a photo ID when they go to the polls to vote — even when the ID itself is given away for free —prevents eligible voters from casting ballots. . They contend proving citizenship would make voting harder for millions who lack ready access to birth certificates or passports&#160;– supposedly primarily harming blacks and Hispanics.&#160; . Yet democracies all over the globe, both in the wealthy West and in the developing world, enforce similar rules. . Every&#160;country in Africa [1], for example,&#160;requires government-issued identification to vote, and 51 out of 54 African nations demand would-be voters to actively submit proof of citizenship to register. . Mexico [2]&#160;and&#160;all 12 South American countries [3]&#160;mandate government-issued photo IDs to vote, and verify the citizenship of each registered voter.&#160; . Mexico’s&#160;&#160;rules, similar to those proposed in the SAVE Act, require voters to prove their citizenship with an original birth certificate issued by a civil registry, a naturalization certificate or a Mexican passport.&#160;&#160; . Our southern neighbor even requires a thumb stain when casting a ballot, to prevent double-voting. . All&#160;47 European countries [4]&#160;require government-issued photo identification [5] at the polls.&#160; . Virtually all of them check voters’ citizenship against national databases, though France requires them to submit documentation, too — and the UK, Cyprus and Ireland reserve the right to demand documents when citizenship is in doubt. . Why the tight security? To combat widespread vote fraud. . Mexico enacted major reforms in 1991 after election fraud became endemic there.&#160; . The government required biometric photo voter IDs, banned absentee ballots and mandated in-person registration.&#160; . And despite the tighter rules, turnout rose.&#160; . In the next three presidential elections,&#160;average participation reached 68% of eligible voters, up from 59% in the prior three [6].&#160; . As confidence in the system increased, so did participation. . Similarly, in Northern Ireland, decades of intense sectarian conflict fueled aggressive electoral tactics, and observers described voter fraud as “widespread and systemic [7].”&#160; . Both Conservative and Labour governments acted.&#160; . In 1985, under Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, the UK began&#160;requiring [8]&#160;voters to show identification at the polls, but that failed to solve the problem: Investigators found that individuals could&#160;easily forge [9]&#160;medical cards — the accepted ID — or obtain them fraudulently to cast illegitimate votes. . IRA Belfast commanders subsequently admitted to complex scams that had volunteers donning disguises — wigs, different clothes, glasses — to vote multiple times, and running taxis to transport fraudulent voters between polling stations.&#160; . By 2002, a UK Electoral Commission survey&#160;found [10]&#160;that 64% of voters believed fraud in some areas was significant enough to change election outcomes. Only 10% disagreed. . That year, the Labour government strengthened ID requirements,&#160;introduced harder-to-forge identification [11]&#160;and implemented rules to prevent multiple registrations — and voter confidence rose.&#160; . Rep. Henry Cuellar, the only House Democrat supporting the SAVE Act, says he does so “because I believe in a fundamental principle: American citizens should decide American elections.”&#160; . Currently,&#160;seven states [12]&#160;already require proof of citizenship, such as a birth certificate, passport, tribal documentation, or naturalization papers, to register to vote — similar to the SAVE Act’s proposed rules. .&#160; And polls show strong support for voter ID requirements&#160;among all voters, both Democrats (71%) and Republicans (95%) [13]. . Even though Democrats like Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer damn the legislation by claiming it “would impose Jim Crow-style restrictions on voting,” minority voters don’t seem see any danger: significant majorities of black Americans (76%) and Hispanic Americans (82%) favor voter ID. . “The bottom line is this: voter ID is not controversial in this country,” CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten recently&#160;noted [14].&#160; . Nor does it spark controversy virtually anywhere else.&#160; . Yet despite voters’ own preferences, only&#160;one Democratic House member [15]&#160;and&#160;one possible Senate Democrat, Pennsylvania’s John Fetterman, [16]&#160;supports the SAVE Act.&#160; . Unless seven more of the Senate’s 47 Democrats step forward, their filibuster will kill the bill. . But if voter ID and proof of citizenship destroy democracy, Democrats would have to label&#160;virtually all other&#160;countries in the world as undemocratic. . John R. Lott, Jr., “At the New York Post: World Democracies Debunk SAVE Act&#160;Fears,” New York Post, March 26, 2026.


[1] https://coldstreams.com/social/2026/01/30/what-countries-have-voter-identification-requirements/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[2] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3849068
[3] https://coldstreams.com/social/2026/01/30/what-countries-have-voter-identification-requirements/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[4] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3849068
[5] https://www.gov.uk/how-to-vote/photo-id-youll-need
[6] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=925611
[7] https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/voter-fraud-endemic-since-the-foundation-of-northern-ireland-study-35835051.html
[8] https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm199798/cmselect/cmniaf/316ii/nis207.htm#a5
[9] https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm199798/cmselect/cmniaf/316ii/nis207.htm#a5
[10] https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/issues/politics/election/electoralcommission1203.pdf
[11] https://cain.ulster.ac.uk/issues/politics/election/electoralcommission1203.pdf
[12] https://ballotpedia.org/Proof_of_citizenship_requirements_for_voter_registration_by_state?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[13] https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2025/08/22/majority-of-americans-continue-to-back-expanded-early-voting-voting-by-mail-voter-id/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[14] https://x.com/PressSec/status/2021975976645943617
[15] https://www.lmtonline.com/local/article/south-texas-border-lawmaker-save-america-bill-vote-21351632.php
[16] https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/fetterman-breaks-with-democrats-on-voter-id-as-gop-pushes-save-america-act-5982879?utm_source=chatgpt.com]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Letter Submitted to the Australian Spectator: Responding to Claims about Benefits of UK’s Handgun Ban</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/letter-submitted-to-the-australian-spectator-responding-to-claims-about-benefits-of-uks-handgun-ban/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64334</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[The Australian Spectator ran an article on the claimed benefits of the UK’s 1997 handgun ban. Dr. John Lott submitted this letter, but the magazine chose not to run it. The information used in this letter can be found here , but more detailed information is available in my book from the University of Chicago [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[The Australian Spectator ran an article [1] on the claimed benefits of the UK’s 1997 handgun ban. Dr. John Lott submitted this letter, but the magazine chose not to run it. The information used in this letter can be found here [2] , but more detailed information is available in my book from the University of Chicago Press (third edition, 2010) titled “More Guns, Less Crime [3].” . 
Dear Letters Editor: . Supporters of Britain’s 1997 handgun ban argue that the law made the country safer (Chris Mullin,&#160;One Morning in March: Dunblane and the Shooting That Changed Britain). Yet in the seven years after the ban, the homicide rate in England and Wales rose by over 50 percent. Total homicides peaked in 2002/2003, partly because the figures included the mass murders committed by Dr. Harold Shipman. Even excluding those cases, however, homicides increased substantially. Indeed, over the same period, the firearm homicide rate nearly doubled. . Fifteen years after the ban, the homicide rate had finally fallen back to roughly its pre-ban level. But that decline followed a massive increase in policing: from 2001 to 2004, authorities expanded the number of police officers by about 18 percent. . Britain’s experience is not unique. Each time governments have banned either all guns or all handguns anywhere in the world, murder and homicide rates have risen, often by several fold or more. These increases have occurred not only in U.S. jurisdictions such as Washington, DC, and Chicago, where handgun bans were implemented, but also in island nations such as the Republic of Ireland and Jamaica. . Random variation alone would suggest that at least once a ban would coincide with falling or stable murder rates. Instead, murder and homicide rates have increased every time. . Sincerely, John R. Lott, Jr., Ph.D.
 

[1] https://app.spectator.com.au/2026/03/05/evil-visited-that-day-and-we-dont-know-why-dunblane-30-years-on/content.html
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/2016/04/murder-and-homicide-rates-before-and-after-gun-bans/
[3] https://www.amazon.com/More-Guns-Less-Crime-Understanding/dp/1707911975/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2PYQ4HPEPWQN0&#38;keywords=more+guns+less+crime&#38;qid=1636267088&#38;sprefix=More+Guns+L%2Caps%2C238&#38;sr=8-1]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Dinner Talk in Phoenix, Arizona on March 27th</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/dinner-talk-in-phoenix-arizona-on-march-27th/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 24 Mar 2026 18:06:36 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64318</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott will be giving a talk and book signing in Glendale, Arizona for a Gun Owners of America (you can sign up for tickets here). Others speakers include Rep. Andy Biggs (who is running for governor), Sheriff Mark Lamb (AZ Congressional Candidate for CD-5), and Lawyer Mark Smith.]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Dr. John Lott will be giving a talk and book signing in Glendale, Arizona for a Gun Owners of America (you can sign up for tickets here [1]). Others speakers include Rep. Andy Biggs (who is running for governor), Sheriff Mark Lamb (AZ Congressional Candidate for CD-5), and Lawyer Mark Smith. 

[1] https://tinyurl.com/GOADinner]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>CPRC in the News: Breitbart, Instapundit, American Thinker, New American, The American Spectator, and more</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/featured/cprc-in-the-news-breitbart-instapundit-american-thinker-new-american-the-american-spectator-and-more/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Featured</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64086</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Stateline&#160;quoted&#160;John Lott saying, “All you do by creating a gun-free zone is creating a magnet — just read the diaries and manifestos. All you do is create a magnet for those who want to go and kill people.” . . . AWR Hawkins, “Report: At Least Eight States Seek Some Form of Campus Carry for [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[ 
Stateline&#160;quoted [1]&#160;John Lott saying, “All you do by creating a gun-free zone is creating a magnet — just read the diaries and manifestos. All you do is create a magnet for those who want to go and kill people.” . . . AWR Hawkins, “Report: At Least Eight States Seek Some Form of Campus Carry for Self-Defense,” Breitbart, March 19, 2026. [2]
  
With the increase of Islamic terror attacks here in the U.S., experts say it serves as yet another reminder that President Trump needs to continue mass deportations. No matter what the left says about it. “You know, it’s not rocket science” said John Lott, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, “If you want to go and reduce crime, you have to make it risky for criminals to go and commit crime.” And after millions of illegals poured into the country under Joe Biden, the upswing in attacks should not be a surprise. And the numbers don’t lie. “It’s not a coincidence, that at the same time we had this record inflow of illegal aliens during the Biden administration, we had the largest percentage increase in felony violent crime that we’ve ever seen, that we’ve ever recorded” Lott told KTRH. Which is why the mass deportations are so important, not just for right now, but for the future of our nation. “I think it’s important if he wants to save lives” noted Lott, “The left wants to claim that these policies are racist, and yet the very lives that they’re saving are people that the Democrats claim that they care about.” . . .  B.D. Hobbs, “Why Trump Needs To Stand Firm On Mass Deportations,” WOAI News Radio, March 15, 2026. [3]
  
For most Americans, such people are justly pariahs. Fortunately, Dr. John R. Lott of the&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center [4]keeps track of the facts, in this case, via&#160;Real Clear Politics: [5] . . . Mike McDaniel, “The real mass shooter threat,” American Thinker, March 18, 2026. [6]
  
Addressing this Tuesday, John R. Lott Jr. writes at RealClearPolitics:  March alone saw multiple terrorist attacks carried out by Muslims. In Austin, a terrorist wore a sweatshirt reading “Property of Allah” during an attack. In New York City, bomb throwers shouted “Allahu Akbar” while throwing a homemade shrapnel bomb. At Old Dominion University, a shooter also yelled “Allahu Akbar” and had previously been convicted of supporting ISIS. Another attacker, whose brother was a Hezbollah terrorist commander, targeted Temple Israel in Michigan, and yet another attack, involving three men of Iraqi origin, targeted the U.S. embassy in Norway. The Austin, Old Dominion, and New York City bombers and the Michigan synagogue attackers were also all foreign-born individuals who were naturalized U.S. citizens.  Terrorist attacks take many forms. For example, the January 2025 truck attack in New Orleans, with an ISIS flag on the truck, left 14 people dead and 47 injured.  Of course, some will dismiss the above as anecdotal and possibly cherry-picked. So what do the statistics show?  The Data In presenting stats, Lott writes that he’s going to focus the discussion on one type of attack that has been extensively studied: mass public shootings. Researchers define a mass public shooting as an attack in which a perpetrator kills four or more people at one time in a public place, excluding crimes such as gang fights or robberies. And here’s a summary of Lott’s findings: — From January 1998 to December 2025, the U.S. had 108 mass public shootings involving 111 shooters.  — Muslims committed eight of these shootings (7.2 percent), while averaging about 0.4 percent of the American population — making their share of attacks roughly 18 times their population size.  — By contrast, only seven attackers (6.5 percent) expressed white supremacist, neo-Nazi, or anti-immigrant views.  — Some “anti-immigrant” attackers (e.g., El Paso, Dayton, Buffalo) also cited environmentalist motivations, concerns about population growth harming sustainability, anti-capitalist views, support for worker ownership, and leftist/Democratic leanings — yet media often labels them broadly as right-wing extremists or white supremacists.  — The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) claims all extremist violence from 2022-2024 was committed by right-wing perpetrators, asserts Lott. Yet it excluded cases such as Audrey Hale (Nashville Covenant School, 2023; anti-“white privilege”), Robert Crimo (Highland Park, 2022; anti-Trump), and Connor Sturgeon (Louisville; pro-BLM, anti-police/Trump). . . . . [and much more] Selwyn Duke, “The Lord Voldemort of Terror Threats Must Be Named,” New American, March 18, 2026. [7]
 Screenshot 
The Crime Prevention Research Center just dropped a new&#160;report [8], and it’s already stirring debate. Dr. John Lott and his team examined FBI active shooting data from 2018 through 2024. And they argue that much of the public conversation has been statistically incomplete. The headline claim? When you adjust for population share, transgender individuals appear disproportionately represented in active&#160;shooting and mass public [9]&#160;shooting cases, particularly in 2024. . . . [much longer discussion] Larry Z, “New Report Sparks Debate Over Active Shooter Statistics,” American Liberty News, March 14, 2026. [10]
 Screenshot 
As John R. Lott, Jr., the foremost authority on the statistics of gun ownership and crime, has said, “There is a clear consensus among economists about self-defense, gun-free zones, firearms and suicide, and concealed handgun laws. Among North American economists: •&#160;&#160;Eighty-eight percent say that guns are more frequently ‘used in self-defense than they are used in the commission of crime.’ •&#160;&#160;Ninety-one percent believe that gun-free zones are ‘more likely to attract criminals than they are to deter them.’ •&#160;Seventy-two percent do not agree that ‘a gun in the home causes an increase in the risk of suicide.’ •&#160;Ninety-one percent say that ‘concealed handgun permit holders are much more law-abiding than the typical American.’•&#160;Eighty-one percent say that permitted concealed handguns lower the murder rate.” Some people acknowledge that people have the right to own guns, but they favor restrictions like gun registration. Lott’s research shows that these measures aren’t needed: “Whether in Canada, Hawaii, Chicago, or Washington, D.C., police are unable to point to a single instance of gun registration aiding the investigation of a violent crime. In a 2013 deposition, D.C. Police Chief Cathy Lanier said that the department could not ‘recall any specific instance where registration records were used to determine who committed a crime.’&#160; . . . . Llewellyn H. Rockwell, “We Need Our Guns,” LewRockwell.com, March 16, 2026. [11]
  
The Crime Prevention Research Center [12]&#160;found that individuals identifying as transgender accounted for a disproportionately high share of perpetrators in “active shooting attacks.” The research center, which drew from raw FBI crime data, published a Feb. 20 report that stated, “In 2024 transgender individuals committed active shooting attacks at least 12 times their share of the population and possibly more than 16 times their share.”&#160; . . . Dylan Kresk, “Activist Outlet Twists Psychology Study to Dismiss Concerns About Transgender Mass Shootings,” The American Spectator, March 11, 2026. [13]
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A&#160;2006 study [14]&#160;by the Crime Prevention Research Center found “[i]t is hard to see any evidence that voting regulations differentially harm either minorities, the elderly, or the poor,” and that “[r]egulations that prevent fraud are shown to actually increase the voter participation rate.” . . . “SAVE America Act Tops Election Reform Popularity,” Mirage, March 11, 2026. [15]
 Stephen Green, “THOSE ARE ROOKIE NUMBERS:&#160;Nearly 28,000 Colorado concealed carry permits issued in 2025,” Instapundit, March 11, 2026. [16] 

[1] https://stateline.org/2026/03/17/state-lawmakers-push-to-expand-laws-allowing-guns-on-college-campuses/
[2] https://www.breitbart.com/2nd-amendment/2026/03/19/report-at-least-eight-states-seek-some-form-campus-carry-self-defense/
[3] https://woai.iheart.com/featured/san-antonios-first-news/content/2026-03-13-why-trump-needs-to-stand-firm-on-mass-deportations/
[4] https://crimeresearch.org/
[5] http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/03/17/the_terror_threat_americans_arent_supposed_to_discuss_153949.html
[6] https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/03/the_real_mass_shooter_threat.html
[7] https://thenewamerican.com/us/crime/the-lord-voldemort-of-terror-threats-must-be-named/
[8] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[9] https://gunsamerica.com/digest/video-stossel-lott-mass-public-shootings/
[10] https://americanliberty.news/arms/new-report-sparks-debate-over-active-shooter-statistics/bw/2026/03/
[11] https://www.lewrockwell.com/2026/03/lew-rockwell/we-need-our-guns/
[12] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[13] https://spectator.org/activist-outlet-twists-psychology-study-to-dismiss-concerns-about-transgender-mass-shootings/
[14] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=925611&#38;utm_source=miragenews&#38;utm_medium=miragenews&#38;utm_campaign=news
[15] https://www.miragenews.com/save-america-act-tops-election-reform-popularity-1636106/
[16] https://instapundit.com/781724/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Greg Gutfeld Mentioning Our Work on Crime by Illegal Aliens</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/greg-gutfeld-mentioning-our-work-on-crime-by-illegal-aliens/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sat, 21 Mar 2026 01:18:50 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64286</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Fox News’ Gutfeld! on February 12, 2026 . Kat Timpf: People who are violent felons, yes, they should be deported, and I think there’s also a big number of people who say, if you have committed felonies, maybe you should not be in this country and given a pass and given free health care and [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Fox News’ Gutfeld! on February 12, 2026 [1]  . Kat Timpf: People who are violent felons, yes, they should be deported, and I think there’s also a big number of people who say, if you have committed felonies, maybe you should not be in this country and given a pass and given free health care and free education and everything else, but the problem is that that threshold has been lowered so far, that now we’re giving everyone a pass not to make cities safer, but to just stick it to Trump.  . Greg Gutfeld: Yeah, no, it’s a good point. But you know, I remember I used to say that illegals committed fewer crimes than American citizens, and then I was corrected by somebody who did the research, and I believe it might have been John Lott, I’m not sure, but said that because illegals commit the majority of their crimes against other illegals, other illegals don’t report them, so you do have a legal gang crime and stuff like that, but it never makes it to the police because no illegal is going to report the crime, which is kind of sad because they’re being victimized and nobody could help them. . Our work on crime by illegal aliens includes our pieces titled “New data reveals the horrific truth about illegal-immigrant crime [2]” and “Illegal immigrant crime rates higher than Cato Institute wants you to believe [3].” 

[1] https://archive.org/details/FOXNEWSW_20260212_080000_Gutfeld/start/840/end/900
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/12/at-the-new-york-post-new-data-reveals-the-horrific-truth-about-illegal-immigrant-crime/
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/06/at-the-washington-times/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Australians for Science &#038; Freedom: Guns and Crime. Interviewed by Jason Strecker</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/australians-for-science-freedom-guns-and-crime-interviewed-by-jason-strecker/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 18:18:46 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64262</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[by RW &#124; Mar 27, 2026 &#124; Radio Dr. John Lott talked to Vicki McKenna on her statewide radio show in Wisconsin about a series of Virginia&#8217;s proposed anti-gun bills targeting common firearms. (Monday, March 16, 2026) Vicki’s show covers most of Wisconsin and part of the Minneapolis area in Minnesota&#8230; by RW &#124; Mar [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[  [1] by RW [2] &#124; Mar 27, 2026 &#124; Radio [3]Dr. John Lott talked to Vicki McKenna on her statewide radio show in Wisconsin about a series of Virginia's proposed anti-gun bills targeting common firearms. (Monday, March 16, 2026) Vicki’s show covers most of Wisconsin and part of the Minneapolis area in Minnesota...
   [4] by RW [2] &#124; Mar 27, 2026 &#124; Radio [3]Dr. John Lott talked to Alan Stock on Las Vegas’ giant KXNT-AM about his new op-ed at&#160;Real Clear Politics titled "The Terror Threat Americans Aren’t Supposed To Discuss." They also discussed shootings involving transgender individuals and the risks associated with...
   [7] by johnrlott [8] &#124; Mar 26, 2026 &#124; op-ed [9], Vote Fraud [10]Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed piece at the New York Post on the debate over the SAVE Act. . Senate Democrats are fighting tooth and nail against the SAVE Act, arguing that requiring Americans to prove their identity with a photo ID when they go to the polls to vote —...
 

[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/on-the-vicki-mckenna-show-to-discuss-virginias-proposed-anti-gun-bills/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/author/rujunwang/
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/category/radio/
[4] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/on-vegas-at-eight-with-alan-stock-on-las-vegas-giant-kxnt-am-to-discuss-terror-threats-and-transgender-violence/
[5] https://crimeresearch.org/author/rujunwang/
[6] https://crimeresearch.org/category/radio/
[7] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/at-the-new-york-post-world-democracies-debunk-save-act-fears/
[8] https://crimeresearch.org/author/johnrlott/
[9] https://crimeresearch.org/category/op-ed/
[10] https://crimeresearch.org/category/vote-fraud/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>At Real Clear Politics: The Terror Threat Americans Aren’t Supposed To Discuss</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/at-real-clear-politics-the-terror-threat-americans-arent-supposed-to-discuss/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 17:41:08 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64193</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[. Many commentators claim that Islam does not pose a threat of violence in the United States. Influencers such as&#160;Tucker Carlson&#160;often repeat this argument. Others, including&#160;then-President Joe Biden&#160;and&#160;FBI Director Christopher Wray, have argued that white supremacists represent the primary domestic threat. . Yet March alone saw multiple terrorist attacks carried out by Muslims. In Austin, [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[.
Many commentators claim that Islam does not pose a threat of violence in the United States. Influencers such as&#160;Tucker Carlson [1]&#160;often repeat this argument. Others, including&#160;then-President Joe Biden [2]&#160;and&#160;FBI Director Christopher Wray [3], have argued that white supremacists represent the primary domestic threat. . Yet March alone saw multiple terrorist attacks carried out by Muslims. In Austin, a terrorist wore a sweatshirt reading “Property of Allah [4]” during an attack. In New York City, bomb throwers shouted “Allahu Akbar [5]” while throwing a homemade shrapnel bomb. At Old Dominion University, a shooter also yelled “Allahu Akbar [6]” and had previously been convicted of supporting ISIS. Another attacker,&#160;whose brother was a Hezbollah terrorist commander [7], targeted Temple Israel in Michigan, and yet another attack, involving three men of Iraqi origin, targeted the U.S. embassy in Norway. The&#160;Austin, Old Dominion, and New York City bombers and the Michigan synagogue [8]attackers were also all foreign-born individuals who were naturalized U.S. citizens. &#160; . Terrorist attacks take many forms. For example, the&#160;January 2025 truck attack [9]&#160;in New Orleans, with an ISIS flag on the truck, left 14 people dead and 47 injured. But let’s focus the discussion on one type of attack that has been extensively studied: mass public shootings. Researchers define a mass public shooting as an attack in which a perpetrator kills four or more people at one time in a public place, excluding crimes such as gang fights or robberies. . Looking at all&#160;mass public shootings from 1998 through 2025 reveals several patterns [10]. Muslims commit these crimes at a disproportionate rate. White males commit them at a rate below their share of the population. And most shooters express no clear political ideology. . From January 1998 to December 2025, the United States experienced 108 mass public shootings by 111 shooters. Eight of those shooters were Muslim –&#160;7.2% of the total [11]. During that same period, Muslims averaged about 0.4% of the U.S. population. In other words, their share of attacks was 18 times their share of the population. . The attacks included those carried out by Sulejman Talovic in Salt Lake City in 2007; Nidal Malik Hasan at Fort Hood in 2009; Mohammod Youssuf Abdulazeez in Chattanooga in 2015; Omar Mateen in Orlando in 2016; Arcan Cetin in Burlington, Washington, in 2016; Ahmad Al Aliwi Alissa in Boulder, Colorado, in 2021; and Syed Rizwan Farook and Tashfeen Malik in San Bernardino, California, in 2015. . By contrast, seven attackers – 6.5% of the total – expressed white supremacist, neo-Nazi, or anti-immigrant views. . Some attackers described as anti-immigrant also expressed environmentalist motivations. For example, the murderers in El Paso, Texas; Dayton, Ohio; and Buffalo, New York wrote about concerns that population growth – particularly among minorities – was harming the environment. The El Paso killer wrote in his manifesto: “The decimation of the environment is creating a massive burden for future generations … The next logical step is to decrease the number of people in America using resources. If we can get rid of enough people, then our way of life can become more sustainable [12].” Similarly, the Buffalo killer wrote: “There is no Green future with never ending population growth [13].” The&#160;Dayton murderer [14]&#160;was also an environmentalist, a registered Democrat, who described himself on Twitter as a “leftist,” and was very upset that Ohio’s Republican senator didn’t support the gun control he thought necessary. . These attackers also described themselves as anti-capitalist, anti-conservative, and supportive of worker ownership of the means of production. Despite those claims,&#160;news media outlets consistently [15]&#160;label them broadly as right-wing extremists or white supremacists. . The media widely repeats the Anti-Defamation League’s&#160;claim [16]&#160;that all extremist violence from 2022 to 2024 came from right-wing perpetrators. Yet the ADL labels the 2022 Buffalo mass murderer right-wing simply because he expressed racist views and excludes other attackers. Those omitted include Audrey Elizabeth Hale, who attacked the Covenant School in Nashville in 2023 after&#160;denouncing [17]&#160;“white privilege” and threatening to “kill all you little crackers,” as well as Robert Crimo, who killed seven people in Highland Park in 2022 and expressed&#160;hostility toward Trump [18], and Connor Sturgeon, who killed five in Louisville after&#160;praising the 2020 Black Lives Matter protests and criticizing police violence and Trump [19]. . Overall, non-Middle Eastern whites make up&#160;about 64% of the U.S. population but account for roughly 55% of mass public shooters [20]. Seven attacks involved individuals of Middle Eastern origin – 6.4% of attackers – about 16 times their share of the population. That makes Middle Easterners the most disproportionate ethnic or racial group involved in mass public shootings during this period. Blacks, Asians, and American Indians commit these attacks at slightly higher rates than their shares of the population, while Hispanics commit them at substantially lower rates – about 9% below their share of the population. . Even before this month’s attacks, the evidence showed that Muslims in the United States commit terrorism at a greatly disproportionate rate, though that doesn’t mean that all or even most Muslims are a danger. The data also contradict claims that whites or right-wing white supremacists pose the primary terrorist threat.&#160;Honest discussion requires acknowledging the data on who commits these attacks rather than filtering it through political narratives about which threats are acceptable to discuss. If policymakers and the public want effective prevention, they must start with a clear-eyed assessment of the risks rather than with wishful thinking. John R. Lott, Jr., “The Terror Threat Americans Aren’t Supposed To Discuss,” Real Clear Politics, March 17, 2026. [21]


[1] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/update-the-false-narrative-of-white-supremacists-doing-mass-public-shootings-racial-gender-religious-and-political-views-of-these-killers-from-1998-through-2025/
[2] https://www.jta.org/quick-reads/biden-white-supremacists-are-the-most-lethal-terrorist-threat?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[3] https://www.rev.com/transcripts/house-homeland-security-hearing-transcript-september-17-fbi-director-testifies
[4] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mass-shooting-at-austin-texas-bar-leaves-at-least-3-dead-multiple-people-wounded/
[5] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fbi-investigation-terrorism-explosive-device-new-york-city-mayor-mamdani-gracie-mansion/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[6] https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2026/03/12/old-dominion-shooting-suspect-is-ex-army-national-guard-member-with-past-terror-conviction/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[7] https://nypost.com/2026/03/15/us-news/israel-confirms-michigan-synagogue-attackers-brother-was-hezbollah-commander/
[8] https://x.com/willcain/status/2032202280221417576?s=20
[9] https://news.sky.com/story/casualties-feared-after-reports-a-vehicle-struck-people-in-new-orleans-13282315?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[10] https://crimeresearch.org/tag/demographics-of-mass-public-shooters/
[11] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/update-the-false-narrative-of-white-supremacists-doing-mass-public-shootings-racial-gender-religious-and-political-views-of-these-killers-from-1998-through-2025/
[12] https://crimeresearch.org/2019/08/what-does-the-el-paso-walmart-manifesto-show/
[13] https://crimeresearch.org/2022/05/like-the-new-zealand-and-el-paso-shooters-the-buffalo-mass-public-shooter-was-another-environmentalist-extremist-who-worried-about-the-damage-that-minorities-did-to-the-environment/
[14] https://crimeresearch.org/2019/08/dayton-ohio-shooter-is-a-registered-democrat/
[15] https://crimeresearch.org/2023/07/49385/
[16] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/09/at-the-federalist-bogus-adl-report-either-mislabels-leftist-violence-as-right-wing-or-omits-it-entirely-the-adls-latest-annual-report-claims-that-right-wing-extremist/
[17] https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/02/22/nashville-transgender-shooter-left-wing-extremist-called-victims-faggots-adl-says/
[18] https://chicago.suntimes.com/highland-park-parade-shooting/2025/03/05/highland-park-parade-shooting-robert-crimo-trial-waiver-donald-trump?utm_source=chatgpt.com
[19] https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2023/apr/11/louisville-shooter-was-set-be-fired-bank-he-attack/
[20] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/03/update-the-false-narrative-of-white-supremacists-doing-mass-public-shootings-racial-gender-religious-and-political-views-of-these-killers-from-1998-through-2025/
[21] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/03/17/the_terror_threat_americans_arent_supposed_to_discuss_153949.html]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Virginia Bill On the Governor’s Desk Makes It a Crime to Carry a Wide Range of Firearms on “any public street, road, alley, sidewalk, public right-of-way, or in any public park or any other place of whatever nature that is open to the public”</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/virginia-bill-on-the-governors-desk-makes-it-a-crime-to-carry-a-wide-range-of-firearms-on-any-public-street-road-alley-sidewalk-public-right-of-way-or-in-any-public-park-or-any/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Sun, 15 Mar 2026 05:42:46 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64152</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[It&#160;is&#160;unlawful for any person to carry a loaded&#160;&#160;(i)&#160;semi-automatic center-fire rifle or pistol that expels single or multiple projectiles by action of an explosion of a combustible material and is&#160;(a)&#160;equipped at the time of the offense with a magazine that will hold more than 20 rounds of ammunition,&#160;(b)&#160;designed by the manufacturer to accommodate a silencer,&#160;or&#160;(c)&#160;equipped with [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[
It&#160;is&#160;unlawful for any person to carry a loaded&#160;&#160;(i)&#160;semi-automatic center-fire rifle or pistol that expels single or multiple projectiles by action of an explosion of a combustible material and is&#160;(a)&#160;equipped at the time of the offense with a magazine that will hold more than 20 rounds of ammunition,&#160;(b)&#160;designed by the manufacturer to accommodate a silencer,&#160;or&#160;(c)&#160;equipped with a folding stock or&#160;(ii)&#160;shotgun with a magazine that will hold more than seven rounds of the longest ammunition for which it is chambered on or about his person on any public street, road, alley, sidewalk, public right-of-way, or in any public park or any other place of whatever nature that is open to the public in the&#160;Commonwealth. SENATE BILL NO. 727, Offered January 19, 2026 [1]
 Something between about 25 to 40 percent of all firearms sold have threaded barrels, with about 10 to 20% of standard duty handguns (over 50% of tactical/competition handguns) and 65 to 85% of rifles. About 80–95%&#160;of AR-15s rifles have threaded barrels. Relatively few handguns are sold originally with magazines holding more than 20 rounds (probably less than 5%). Among the handguns that are designed for a suppressor: Glock 17 Gen4 MOS Threaded Barrel, Glock 19 Gen4 MOS Threaded Barrel, Glock 21 Tactical Threaded Barrel, SIG P320 XCarry Legion TB, SIG P226 Tactical Operations TB, SIG P220 Combat TB, Smith &#38; Wesson M&#38;P 9 M2.0 CORE Threaded Barrel, and Smith &#38; Wesson M&#38;P 45 M2.0 Threaded Barrel. This means that you won’t be able to take the vast majority [2] of AR-15s to a shooting range. People will only be able to keep the guns that they already own at their home. 

[1] https://lis.virginia.gov/bill-details/20261/SB727/text/SB727
[2] https://thegunzone.com/do-all-ar-15-barrels-have-threaded-muzzles/?utm_source=chatgpt.com]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>Letter Submitted to the Orange County Register Responding “For UCI professor, sharing data about immigrants and crime is risky,” which claims the professor taking the left wing position that illegals don’t commit much crime is somehow heroic</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/john-r-lott-jr/letter-submitted-to-the-orange-county-register-responding-for-uci-professor-sharing-data-about-immigrants-and-crime-is-risky-which-claims-the-professor-taking-the-left-wing-positio/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>John R Lott Jr.</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64114</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[Responding to this piece in the Orange County Register (California), though it wasn’t published by the newspaper.&#160;Links to sources for the New York data. The Maricopa County Attorney’s Office data is here. More information here. Dear Editor: Your article on UCI Professor Charis Kubrin (“For UCI professor, sharing data about immigrants and crime is risky,” [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[Responding to this piece in the Orange County Register (California) [1], though it wasn’t published by the newspaper.&#160;Links to sources for the New York data [2]. The Maricopa County Attorney’s Office data is here [3]. More information here [4]. 
Dear Editor: Your article on UCI Professor Charis Kubrin (“For UCI professor, sharing data about immigrants and crime is risky,” March 8) is disappointing because it fails to ask her any hard questions. For example, she cites data from the Texas prison system but overlooks an important factor: Texas works closely with ICE, and authorities often deport illegal immigrants when they are arraigned at the county courthouse or convicted—before they ever enter jail or prison, so illegals are underrepresented among incarcerated people. The same problem affects the American Community Survey used by CATO and others. That survey also depends on people honestly self-reporting their immigration status. Yet many illegal immigrants are understandably reluctant to disclose that information, and incarcerated individuals are likely to be even more reluctant to do so. The discussion ignores recent data released by ICE last December showing that illegal immigrants make up at least 14.0% of incarcerated people in New York—at least 3.4 times their share of the state’s general population.&#160;A Maricopa County Attorney’s Office study revealed that illegal immigrants committed 21.8% of felonies sentenced in Maricopa County Superior Court, over twice their proportion of Arizona’s population.&#160; Real courage by Kubrin would have been to question the group think in left wing academia. Sincerely, John R. Lott, Jr., Ph.D.PresidentCrime Prevention Research Center
 

[1] https://www.ocregister.com/2026/03/08/for-uci-professor-sharing-data-about-immigrants-and-crime-is-risky/
[2] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/12/at-the-new-york-post-new-data-reveals-the-horrific-truth-about-illegal-immigrant-crime/
[3] https://web.archive.org/web/20240619115410/https://azplea.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/County-AttyIllegal-Immigration-White-Paper-FINAL.pdf
[4] https://crimeresearch.org/2025/06/at-the-washington-times/]]></content:encoded>
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	<title>CPRC in the News: The Epoch Times, American Thinker (2), Ammoland (2), and more</title>
	<link>https://namelyliberty.com/featured/cprc-in-the-news-the-epoch-times-american-thinker-2-ammoland-2-and-more/?utm_source=Liberty+RSS+Feed</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Featured</dc:creator>
	<guid isPermaLink="false">https://crimeresearch.org/?p=64053</guid>
	<description><![CDATA[U.S. academic and crime analyst John Lott Jr. says more discussion is needed on how mass shooters plan their attacks, rather than just motivation and ideology, which typically receives the most media attention. Lott Jr., founder of the Crime Prevention Research Center, was in Australia on a speaking tour last month following the Bondi Beach [&#8230;]]]></description>
	<content:encoded><![CDATA[ 
U.S. academic and crime analyst John Lott Jr. says more discussion is needed on how mass shooters plan their attacks, rather than just motivation and ideology, which typically receives the most media attention. Lott Jr., founder of the Crime Prevention Research Center, was in Australia on a speaking tour last month [1] following the Bondi Beach terror attack that targeted the Jewish celebration of Hanukkah and killed 15 people on Dec. 14. last year. The response to Bondi has included tougher gun control, a national gun buyback scheme, and new anti-hate speech laws. Yet Lott Jr. says the methods of mass shooters can be overlooked, even if they have a stark bearing on how governments should deal with such incidents. “I’ve read literally dozens of diaries and manifestos from these mass murderers, many dozens,” he told The Epoch Times, noting he had interviewed hundreds of witnesses too. “And you know, certain patterns occur very regularly,” Lott Jr. said. “These monsters go and explain why they picked the targets that they did. It’s not random, and unfortunately, the media really ignores why these guys say they pick the targets.” Lott Jr. says mass shooters tend to choose “easy” targets and areas where they can gain the most media attention, while avoiding being harmed themselves. . . .[Much more here] Crystal-Rose Jones and Daniel Teng, “How Do Mass Shooters Pick Their Targets? Expert Says Key Question Often Overlooked,” Epoch Times, March 7, 2026. [2]
  
The media tells us the proliferation of trans shooters is a phantom. They’re not the slightest danger to themselves or anyone else. White men are the real danger. Dr. John R. Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center&#160;has found otherwise. [3] . . . . [Long quote from Lott] Lott is a careful researcher who often writes on gun issues. Anti-liberty/gun cracktivists hate him and disparage his research, but can’t reasonably attack his data and conclusions, because unlike his critics, he engages in real science and makes available his data sets and methods. Unlike&#160;Politico&#160;and others, he accounted for trans’ share of the population. So, what portion of the population is trans?. . . . [Long quote from Lott] Using a variety of sources, Lott concludes that trans comprise 0.73% of the population, and if Twenge’s study is taken into account—my assertion, not Lott’s—that number is likely currently smaller. Using all available data, Lott concludes that trans commit mass shooting attacks at from 12 to 16.3 times their share of the population, an accurate and stunning conclusion. The 12 to 16.3 span is dependent on which years are sampled. Trans are also dangerously suicidal: . . . [Long quote from Lott] Mike McDaniel, “The media says trans aren’t dangerous; are they lying?,” American Thinker, March 8, 2026 [4]
  
The Crime Prevention Research Center’s&#160;analysis [5]&#160;of FBI data found that rifles’ share of firearm murders was 4.8 percent before the 1994 assault weapons ban, 4.9 percent during it, and 3.6 percent after it expired.&#160;&#160;The ban made no measurable difference, which is what you’d expect when you’re legislating against a fraction of a fraction. . . .Jay Rogers, “The Problem with Blaming the Gun,” American Thinker, March 8, 2026. [6]
  
The Crime Prevention Research Center in 2025&#160;estimated that over&#160;19 percent of the Colorado population [7]&#160;21 or older holds a carry permit. A CHP is valid for five-years. . . . Mike Krause, “Nearly 28,000 Colorado concealed carry permits issued in 2025,” Complete Colorado, March 9, 2026. [8]
 Screenshot 
The Crime Prevention Research Center in 2025&#160;estimated that over&#160;19 percent of the Colorado population [9]&#160;21 or older holds a carry permit. A CHP is valid for five-years. . . . Mike Krause, “Colorado Sees Strong Concealed Carry Permit Numbers Despite New Restrictions,” The Rocky Mountain Voice, March 10, 2026. [10]
  
At the&#160;Crime Prevention Research Center [11], a slight drop in concealed carry permits has been occurring. This was attributed to the increase in Constitutional Carry (permitless carry), which is now up to 29 states. Such a drop could explain the decline in the number of background checks for firearms permits and permit rechecks. Permit and permit recheck volumes have fluctuated, complicating the correlation between NICS background checks and firearm sales. They are the major reason the NSSF adjusted NICS is a much better measure of firearm sales. The adjusted numbers exclude NICS background checks conducted for permits and permit rechecks. . . .  Dean Weingarten, “Gun Sales Rise 3.5% in February 2026 Despite Drop in NICS Background Checks,” Ammoland, March 10, 2026. [12]
  
Research cited by the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) also notes that defensive gun use often receives&#160;little media attention [13], even though armed citizens sometimes stop crimes before police arrive. Data compiled by the Crime Prevention Research Center shows that concealed carry permit holders commit firearms-related violations at extremely low rates compared to the general population. One CPRC&#160;analysis [14]&#160;found that permit holders are convicted of firearm violations at about 1/12 the rate of police officers and roughly 1/240th the rate of the general public. . . .  “Chicago Homeowner Shoots Alleged Intruder During South Side Break-In,” Ammoland, March 9, 2026. [15]
 Screenshot 
Meanwhile, in the final two years of the Obama presidency, 2015 and 2016, “ICE recorded 263 mistaken arrests, 54 mistaken detentions (book-ins), and four mistaken removals” (Crime Prevention Research Center, 1-22-26). During 2015-2016, “ICE made a mere 239,645 arrests, meaning the 54 mistaken detentions alone produced an Obama error rate of 0.0225% — about one mistake for every 4,444 arrests….” Furthermore, over the course of Obama-Biden administration, 2009-2016, “56 individuals died in ICE custody…. Roughly one death for every 14,314 detainees.” Finally, “ICE under Obama deported two US citizens in fiscal year 2015, and two more in fiscal year 2016.” . . . “Democrats play a part in deportation issue,” The Brookings Register (South Dakota), March 6, 2026. [16]
  
A&#160;crime study [17]&#160;from John Lott, founder and president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, and Carlisle E. Moody, professor of economics, emeritus with the College of William and Mary, indicates that armed citizens are better at stopping mass killers than the police. This data runs counter to mainstream-news narratives. Indeed, when concealed carry comes up in public debate, gun-control groups and the media members who repeat their talking points claim that we can’t trust everyday Americans with this constitutionally protected right. They say, if citizens can carry concealed guns, we’ll have “Wild West shootouts” on the streets. They also argue that armed citizens—people they presume are untrained—will shoot indiscriminately at a mass killer and thereby kill or wound innocents in the crossfire. As these statistically rare crimes have occurred, however, these fears have not been realized. Indeed, though each time a constitutional-carry law is considered gun-control advocates have made these claims, none of the now 29 constitutional-carry states have put licensing regimes back in place. They have not done so because these things have not occurred. Some key takeaways from this research paper include: — Armed citizens reduce the number of victims wounded in active shooter incidents by 2.7-5.2 while the police have no significant effect.  — Armed citizens reduce the number of casualties by 5.6-8.8 while police response results in a small increase that is significantly different from zero at the .10 level in three out of four models.  — The number of victims killed, wounded, or the total number of casualties is significantly reduced if armed citizens stop the attack compared to the situation where the police stop the attack.  — With respect to unfortunate mishaps, Table 2 shows that armed citizens have shot the wrong person once while police officers have shot the wrong person four times, including friendly fire. Lott and Moody hypothesize that armed citizens stop active murderers with fewer casualties than police because they have a tactical advantage. Uniformed police officers typically get a scene after a murderer has started shooting people. The responding officers can then be targeted because they stand out. In contrast, anyone could be an armed civilian. They blend in and are more likely to already be at the scene. Many such murderers are even known to have avoided places where police officers are present—they look for soft targets. “The 2012 Batman movie theater shooter scouted seven theaters within 20 minutes of his apartment that were showing the new Batman movie that night—and chose the only one that banned guns,” notes this paper. “In 2015, Charleston Church shooter … told a friend he initially planned to target a school but “couldn’t get into the school because of the security,’ so he ‘just settled for the church.’ Similarly, the Nashville Covenant School shooter had originally considered the Green Hills Mall as her primary target but rejected it because it had ‘too much security.’” Many such murderers have committed suicide as soon as police arrived on the scene and police officers have stopped many others. Lott and Moody continually point out what a difficult job first responders have and that they often to do very brave things for the rest of us. The data, however, also shows that armed citizens can be a part of the solution to quickly stopping such sociopaths and terrorists. Many in the media simply won’t report this part of the story. In sum, this research study determined that the “number of victims killed, wounded, or the total number of casualties is significantly reduced if armed citizens stop the attack compared to the situation where the police stop the attack.” Frank Miniter, “Armed Citizens Outperform the Police in Stopping Mass Murderers,” American Rifleman, March 5, 2026. [18]
  
When I first sat down to write this, my intent was to present a clinical analysis of John Lott’s research and the statistical failure of the gun-free zone. But as the words hit the page, the data gave way to memories, and this piece transformed into something much more personal. It became a testament to why we founded FASTER Saves Lives (Faculty/Administrator Safety Training and Emergency Response)—a movement born out of a refusal to accept the status quo, but then thrust upon us by the horrific events of Sandy Hook. I spent years traveling to dozens of late-night school board meetings, advocating for a solution to the “gun-free” death traps our children are forced to inhabit. I have sat in those sterile school boardrooms, looking into the eyes of policymakers, pleading for the “FASTER answer” to the helpless murder of our children. I remember looking into the eyes of a determined FASTER observer who, after witnessing the program’s impact, made the life-changing decision to take FASTER back to her own state to protect her own community. My direct involvement in those early training sessions is now a distant memory, but the impact remains etched in my mind. . . . “Why “Gun-Free” Zones are a Gift to Killers – #2A,” Southern Nation, March 7, 2026. [19]
 

[1] https://archive.is/o/ro7yR/https://www.theepochtimes.com/world/is-australia-really-safe-research-claims-violent-crime-risk-67-percent-higher-than-the-us-5982621
[2] https://www.theepochtimes.com/world/how-do-mass-shooters-pick-their-targets-expert-says-key-question-often-overlooked-5987497
[3] https://crimeresearch.org/2026/02/transgender-shooters-commit-disproportionate-shares-of-mass-public-and-active-shooting-attacks-in-2024-at-least-12-times-their-share-of-the-population/
[4] https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/03/the_media_says_trans_aren_t_dangerous_are_they_lying.html
[5] https://crimeresearch.org/2023/05/updated-information-on-how-rifles-are-used-in-murders/
[6] https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2026/03/the_problem_with_blaming_the_gun.html
[7] https://download.ssrn.com/2025/12/8/5882802.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&#38;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEGcaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIEFvPbff3TcNcMS3TgjHwyReyknjLq2LA0zIrUAV4UyFAiEAiYr7uOSllDbVywL%2BUCH%2Fljoy%2FWhelq%2BA9ltureOLkXwqvgUIMBAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDFUKwme5062LWBOgmSqbBbJWgMrc%2BgtPF%2B0lB%2Fu9XX1UVPmDpBDfSVHaFHmAF3nmR%2FV3eZwSVAwGz9mO7fYDfK2nq1RORGO%2BiQDwhiSBpqX5VerP0x9lxi3g%2FMnLs657AaJJjFn3flk4u3TiDvntpLwKosvUW%2Fl25%2B8%2B5sHrfWfuoZ656JWvPAtHjH93%2F1z6h7KPJQP6f%2FxKxvfDiOLYOfW3wiDXhecDIoeASDtpMx0F%2BwJ0WPSMKn1330gAzbiuidpIf9FUwX27mvr4f5u1n1K18jtnllY%2BwzNc0VALKdrXFRJY7QQRPL499oigiaGBqotazduyqNcKk65HSe%2FyagbW9Ig8kZkn8V3orMnm8TGTKemKnNxIefvxNmK49%2FvcDvk1zQJOyWKOMqRhIFrQ8huUzGzrV7AoUFCZUHOoHo7tFDPI349%2BplR%2Br1Jdok0yUZk595SDjULykEAHXTNNg8vS3HKcuhcbwEiAUx7lXvtygrwSYLxT9596DuQZaFdsQU8v0QFCAHRxU8Vp9sxqr6jjiR4L20nxEsHtwcKe%2FV%2B%2BjGgo9%2BOcUWRYsctIJ3kLVg9lUGVvTmJYIgn4kQO2E%2BKnbMozq3n5eVEax9mPRVAu8poPE%2B7RG9twRE3ZED0gsurkODw4mYYOMInrTu9QQ%2BvfK5yKOmv%2FErB5mCQZ4FjiFs9q0IhN0eWZStXxB9GUqAIJOzJH7nG%2Bhh3ggHgo%2FPHZJdpQ1oWLHh29qK94vE0kSUIwvPJZxBN%2FmhPCk9AhKTSsineH1Au3MUHNYfGV0aP90c%2BXCHoKE9KAVZstnrmvV6tOtMxuHJwtWeU47j9cEBBMyUMwsMAAso94%2BNb6FyoNAiaRgTC0vZcKx%2FXas93NYRXC5pdp6VdT3J1Tu4GrnQaDX%2FAyWJoH0ekwnbu7zQY6sQHzycYDPLkB0ExOWZ5oG5582v9l2WLVOajW1%2FN03STKlL3STY5tNXbEdpxfoid9ImKh3bGSvBECmAIFkH5QiTYZ4geUZwbmtGLd9jZxz8Ygf%2FQ2b4qsaEDufIenXqv%2BcSl%2BE5zkpeZ4WyXoGrUO%2FHJVoh8Q6Ucv5TlN9WSqoxlfhbjVoa3tCIJuMbufkfUiFHAQTBpaBwsjTWqHx4EicWN42yQrqSl3EM95F0zKxMZLlwc%3D&#38;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&#38;X-Amz-Date=20260309T151044Z&#38;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&#38;X-Amz-Expires=300&#38;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWE5W2RHEOB%2F20260309%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&#38;X-Amz-Signature=0302858188849f7d5f1003ed1e8df9b942e60518912b425202ef7562365fea7f&#38;abstractId=5882802
[8] https://completecolorado.com/2026/03/09/nearly-28000-new-colorado-concealed-carry-permits-2025/
[9] https://download.ssrn.com/2025/12/8/5882802.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&#38;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEGcaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIEFvPbff3TcNcMS3TgjHwyReyknjLq2LA0zIrUAV4UyFAiEAiYr7uOSllDbVywL%2BUCH%2Fljoy%2FWhelq%2BA9ltureOLkXwqvgUIMBAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDFUKwme5062LWBOgmSqbBbJWgMrc%2BgtPF%2B0lB%2Fu9XX1UVPmDpBDfSVHaFHmAF3nmR%2FV3eZwSVAwGz9mO7fYDfK2nq1RORGO%2BiQDwhiSBpqX5VerP0x9lxi3g%2FMnLs657AaJJjFn3flk4u3TiDvntpLwKosvUW%2Fl25%2B8%2B5sHrfWfuoZ656JWvPAtHjH93%2F1z6h7KPJQP6f%2FxKxvfDiOLYOfW3wiDXhecDIoeASDtpMx0F%2BwJ0WPSMKn1330gAzbiuidpIf9FUwX27mvr4f5u1n1K18jtnllY%2BwzNc0VALKdrXFRJY7QQRPL499oigiaGBqotazduyqNcKk65HSe%2FyagbW9Ig8kZkn8V3orMnm8TGTKemKnNxIefvxNmK49%2FvcDvk1zQJOyWKOMqRhIFrQ8huUzGzrV7AoUFCZUHOoHo7tFDPI349%2BplR%2Br1Jdok0yUZk595SDjULykEAHXTNNg8vS3HKcuhcbwEiAUx7lXvtygrwSYLxT9596DuQZaFdsQU8v0QFCAHRxU8Vp9sxqr6jjiR4L20nxEsHtwcKe%2FV%2B%2BjGgo9%2BOcUWRYsctIJ3kLVg9lUGVvTmJYIgn4kQO2E%2BKnbMozq3n5eVEax9mPRVAu8poPE%2B7RG9twRE3ZED0gsurkODw4mYYOMInrTu9QQ%2BvfK5yKOmv%2FErB5mCQZ4FjiFs9q0IhN0eWZStXxB9GUqAIJOzJH7nG%2Bhh3ggHgo%2FPHZJdpQ1oWLHh29qK94vE0kSUIwvPJZxBN%2FmhPCk9AhKTSsineH1Au3MUHNYfGV0aP90c%2BXCHoKE9KAVZstnrmvV6tOtMxuHJwtWeU47j9cEBBMyUMwsMAAso94%2BNb6FyoNAiaRgTC0vZcKx%2FXas93NYRXC5pdp6VdT3J1Tu4GrnQaDX%2FAyWJoH0ekwnbu7zQY6sQHzycYDPLkB0ExOWZ5oG5582v9l2WLVOajW1%2FN03STKlL3STY5tNXbEdpxfoid9ImKh3bGSvBECmAIFkH5QiTYZ4geUZwbmtGLd9jZxz8Ygf%2FQ2b4qsaEDufIenXqv%2BcSl%2BE5zkpeZ4WyXoGrUO%2FHJVoh8Q6Ucv5TlN9WSqoxlfhbjVoa3tCIJuMbufkfUiFHAQTBpaBwsjTWqHx4EicWN42yQrqSl3EM95F0zKxMZLlwc%3D&#38;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&#38;X-Amz-Date=20260309T151044Z&#38;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&#38;X-Amz-Expires=300&#38;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWE5W2RHEOB%2F20260309%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&#38;X-Amz-Signature=0302858188849f7d5f1003ed1e8df9b942e60518912b425202ef7562365fea7f&#38;abstractId=5882802
[10] https://rockymountainvoice.com/2026/03/10/colorado-sees-strong-concealed-carry-permit-numbers-despite-new-restrictions/
[11] https://crimeresearch.org/tag/annual-report-on-number-of-concealed-handgun-permits/
[12] https://www.ammoland.com/2026/03/gun-sales-rise-february-2026-despite-drop-nics-background-checks/
[13] https://crimeresearch.org/2021/09/at-real-clear-investigations-there-are-far-more-defensive-gun-uses-than-murders-in-america-heres-why-you-rarely-hear-of-them/
[14] https://crimeresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/57.1-PORAC-Amicus-Brief.pdf
[15] https://www.ammoland.com/2026/03/chicago-homeowner-shoots-alleged-intruder-during-south-side-break-in/
[16] https://www.brookingsregister.com/2026/03/06/speakout-democrats-play-a-part-in-deportation-issue/
[17] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5754143
[18] https://www.americanrifleman.org/content/armed-citizens-outperform-the-police-in-stopping-mass-murderers/
[19] https://www.southernnation.org/p/why-gun-free-zones-are-a-gift-to]]></content:encoded>
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